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[TSP_Strategy] Inflation

 

Inflation

Chart of the Week for June 16, 2017 - June 22, 2017

The year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index in May was the lowest in six months.

The Consumer Price Index ("CPI") is a closely watched economic indicator published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Index is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of consumer goods and services. The chart above shows the year-over-change in CPI for the first five months of 2017.

CPI increased by 1.9% year-over-year in May 2017, which was the slowest growth since November 2016, and a decrease from the five-year high of 2.7% reported in February 2017. CPI is one indicator monitored by the Federal Reserve Board ("Fed") to measure inflation. While the 1.9% figure was below the Fed's target of 2% annual inflation growth, the Fed still announced on June 14, 2017 a possible reduction in its balance sheet starting later this year and increased the target rate range of the Federal Funds Rate by 0.25%. It's the Fed's third interest rate hike since December 2016. Some economists wonder how the slowing rate of inflation growth will impact upcoming Fed decisions.


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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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