Nice analysis. I'm not shorting any of the indices yet. Have been shorting commodities, and buying the VIX.
With respect to the TSP, I would expect to see a significant bounce before we fall to "capitulation." If so, that would be a good time to get out. If not, I'll ride it out and ensure that I'm there for the subsequent rally, in which the S fund will lead.
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Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com
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