Some ancillary indicators are getting interesting. The Treasury yield curve, as I compute it, is at its lowest level since May of 2007, with a value of 1.02% for the difference in the yield of the 10-year treasury and the 3 month treasury. That is, the 3-month bill has an annual yield that is 1.02% below that of the 10-year bond.
This is not an inverted yield curve, but the direction is toward lower values. This could partially be a response to our recent negative weather developments and so could reverse in the absence of further negative events.
Also inflation indicators like the prices of copper and gold have been rising significantly while the dollar continues to decline noticeably in value.
Just some things to watch.
Good luck,
Tex
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Posted by: mrweyl@hotmail.com
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