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[TSP_Strategy] Re: Margin Debt - Bear Market Indicator

 

Thanks Sarah...This is the part I have had, and continue to have confusion over.

Don't want to ride the Bear to the bottom like last time...

And don't want to miss a significant rebound, should one occur.

Imagine if you got out now, the markets rebounded 8-12%, you then got back in, and the markets 
collapsed again, going even lower....


When I first retired, I talked with a financial consultant about the possibility of moving money out of tsp and into a managed investment fund.  Ultimately left the money in tsp, (a confused mind says "no")...But, one thing he told me, as we discussed where to move money within the tsp funds, was that missing just one or two "major' moves up in the market were very costly.  A few weeks back, someone else mentioned this, and while I can back test it, and it seems to hold true, it still is confusing. 

Just seems that though missing an initial big move up, one could get back in a point that still would be profitable...Given the difference between say 900 and 700 in the DWCPF...If I got out at 900 and back in around 800; wouldn't that still be a profitable, and asset preserving plan?  My biggest concern is your last statement "...you then got back in, and the markets collapsed again, going even lower".   That's what keeps me holding on...should be a song in there somewhere.  

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Posted by: inthepowerzone@hotmail.com
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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