Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: What is TSP Strategy's Strategy?

 

Very good advice...as always!

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From: "sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, January 26, 2016 8:25 PM
Subject: [TSP_Strategy] Re: What is TSP Strategy's Strategy?

 

Is there an exit strategy or a new upper level we're looking for on a bounce to either lock in gains or cut losses and move to a safer or more promising fund? If not, how different is this from a buy and hold strategy? 

While each person has their own individual strategy, which they share with us all, I thought I have made my position clear. 

I believe that we are currently in a long term (1-2 year) bear market.

That said, I also believe that markets are overdone on the downside, short term. For that reason, I don't believe that this is a good time to exit.  If a tradable bounce occurs, it might be prudent to exit at that time and wait for the equity markets to hit bottom before reentering.

Over the longer term (beyond 2 years) equities should be fine.

For example, does it make sense to move into G or another fund with higher upside potential when lower limits are breached (like the recent 925 level)? How about when enhanced moving averages analysis indicates long rising trends have slowed (like last July) or are starting to reverse direction (like mid-December)? 

My recommendation to you is to try it...backtest it.  Understand that in sideways markets, you may experience numerous false moves.

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Posted by: Thomas Roberson <troberson58@yahoo.com>

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