Note: It fluctuates, BUT the trendlines are _UP_ for S fund
Me, i'm 100% in S and have been for a very long time, like _years_
I do graph C,S,I,F funds with 20 day moving averages and +/- 2SD Bollinger bands as the raw data tends to stay inside 2 standard deviations and "hug" either the upper or lower bands
I also do a graph "is daily greater than 10 day, 20 day and 50 day moving average as _long term signal_
You _cannot_ "time the market" trying that can and will lose you well over $1,000,000 from personal experience as there are smarter and faster people out there
I look at trends
(outside the S funds, I love renewable energy, biotech and electric vehicles, and "TAAS" transportation as a Service where you hail a smart car to take you places, why own a car when you park it 97% of the day and pay insurance, fees, taxes etc for the fun of it
I follow very smart folks who do the hard work for me though and look at what they do. If you want a suggestion look at the ARK funds, BUT TSP has done us very very well and i'm lazy
Last 2 months with 20 day move avg and trend line upwards
Since Christmas 2019, "black Swan" in late feb but recovered. the trend line is up
Since June 2012 trend line up. graph has 20 day mov average plus 2 standard dev bands, removed daily data as graph too noisy otherwise
ALL this data is free to download and graph in Excel
all it takes is a little time to get set up then spend lunch hour looking at it and absorbing
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