Unless I'm mistaken, if DWCPF drops to 925, S Fund would be down 13% from when TSP Strategy left 100% C Fund back on 4 February 2015. C would be down about 7% over that same period if SP500 hits the 1900 support level Sarah identified earlier this month. (Did I get the date and the math right?)
I can see why 925 might not be an attractive point for TSP Strategy followers to cut losses if the long term bear market does set up. But if is doesn't, won't it take some big gains by S in the short term just to break even?
Of course, swings of 20% or more have happened in the past. But is that what anyone is expecting for 2016?
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Posted by: JM Bud <jmbud2@gmail.com>
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