RE: [TSP_Strategy] TSP Strategy Return on Previous Position

 

Yes the way I see it don't worry about short term, it will all be fine when we get Trump in there, he will turn it around and make us money!

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To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
From: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Date: Thu, 17 Mar 2016 13:11:04 -0400
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] TSP Strategy Return on Previous Position

 

Jim,

Thanks for sharing that chart.  By observing that chart with the EWT perspective, the down turn seem to be A-B-C structure which indicates that the correction might be over.

So I'm still invested in the market and hope to catch little more upside before I cash out.  Based on my wave analysis with assumption of the previous high of 2135 was the Wave-III peak and the Wave-IV bottom was in at 1810, then my potential target for the Wave-V peak of SPX could be around 2236.  And this would have higher probability if it can brake above 2079 and sustain trading above that level.  So for those who plead to F fund, may want to consider moving back to the market if SPX brakes 2079 with a strong momentum.  Just my two cents worth though...

On Tue, Mar 15, 2016 at 1:34 PM, jmbud2@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

[Attachment(s) from jmbud2@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy] included below]

I was trying to compute TSP Strategy's return from buying and holding 100% S Fund for 13 months, and noticed the indices commonly used as proxies for S don't quite agree with the actual TSP S Fund performance. 

(For comparison, see attached chart from TSPCenter.com for performance of all TSP funds over that period.)

 

Closing prices on 08-Mar-2016:

     S-Fund 33.3871; DWCPF 953.51; W4500 962.88

Closing prices on 04-Feb-2015:  

     S-Fund 36.4272; DWCPF 1063.39; W4500 1060.51

TSP Strategy Return based on:

     S-Fund: -8.3%; DWCPF: -10.3%; W4500 -9.2%

Perhaps the Wilshire 4500 index is a better proxy for S than the Dow Completion index, or does it depend on the period? Any thoughts? 

Jim

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Posted by: del brett <bretdelman@msn.com>

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