Jim, I replied to your message about the chart you posted few days ago, but I'm wondering whether you saw it or not. So I'll cut and paste the message portion here, just in case you missed it. As I mentioned in the message below, I just can't confirm whether we're in the bear or bull market at this point. Therefore, I'm still maintaining my long term view of that "We're still in a 'Cyclical Bear Market' period which started in year 2000. Wave-[A]: from 2000 to 2003, Wave-[B]: from 2003 to 2007, Wave-A of [C]: from 2008 to 2009, Wave-B of [C]: from 2009 to 2016?, Wave-C of [C]: from 2016 to 2017?
If indeed, this is Wave-B of [C], then the target price of SPX peak (Wave-V of B of [C] can be projected as somewhere around 2236 which means roughly 10% above the currently price. Something to think about for you folks...
=====
Jim,
Thanks for sharing that chart. By observing that chart with the EWT perspective, the down turn seem to be A-B-C structure which indicates that the correction might be over. So I'm still fully invested in the market and hope to catch little more upside before I cash out. Based on my wave analysis with assumption of the previous high of 2135 was the Wave-III peak and the Wave-IV bottom was in at 1810, then my potential target for the Wave-V peak of SPX could be around 2236. And this would have higher probability if it can brake above 2079 and sustain trading above that level. So for those who plead to F fund, may want to consider moving back to the market if SPX brakes 2079 with a strong momentum. Just my two cents worth though...
=====
On Fri, Mar 18, 2016 at 10:11 AM, JM Bud jmbud2@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
I think the crossing of 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) is one good metric to use to help you decide when to get in, and more importantly, when to get out. The last time the 50 day MA for the S Fund moved above and stayed above its 200 day MA was back in early December 2014. S Fund is down over 6% since then.However, getting out of S back in early September 2015 when its 50 day MA dropped below its 200 day MA (and DWCPF was about 1016) would have cut 3% off that loss. BTW, the C Fund is up over 6% since then.JimOn Fri, Mar 18, 2016 at 8:32 AM, sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:If you recall, I said that the S fund should return to about 1000 before moving lower. However, given the overall weakness shown in the markets, I felt a move to the F fund a bit earlier might be safer.
__._,_.___
Posted by: Paul <ur12bfriend@gmail.com>
| Reply via web post | • | Reply to sender | • | Reply to group | • | Start a New Topic | • | Messages in this topic (7) |
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.
.
__,_._,___
Anda baru saja membaca artikel yang berkategori dengan judul Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Threshold for going back to S ?. Anda bisa bookmark halaman ini dengan URL https://1stleadershipworkshop.blogspot.com/2016/03/re-tspstrategy-re-threshold-for-going_75.html. Terima kasih!
Ditulis oleh:
Andriansyah -
Belum ada komentar untuk "Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Threshold for going back to S ?"
Post a Comment