Hello, Michael. For those of us who missed the warning signs you referred to and are still heavily in equities, do you think we should cut our losses soon and wait it out in the G-Fund (perhaps until mid-October), or is it too late for that move? Jim
On Friday you wrote,"There are many more caveats and seasonal analysis should be combined with other cyclical market risk measures in the future. Case in point, both market internals and measures of risk aversion have been rising for several months warning of a much higher risk of deeper correction like in 2011. This alone indicates reduced exposure to equities, but combine this with the unfavorable months then very low exposure is a must. Re-enter when seasonal, technical and cyclical measures signal lower risk."
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Posted by: JM Bud <jmbud2@gmail.com>
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