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Re: [TSP_Strategy] I Fund and USD

 

Sarah I hope I stayed in the right thread..as i have several clarifications and they probably cross several threads.  My apolgogies if I should have broken these out 


1)  I have been noticing the rise of the I fund .  Given the currency issues and the potential for higher rates in the US why is this fund leading the pack?  

2)Your comment below 
 So far, IMHO, this cycle has fallen in line with traditional cycles.  S leads at the outset, C catches up, then S leads one final time before the bear cycle begins.

The S fund has more short term potential than the C fund IMHO.

Remember that the S fund includes NASDAQ stocks.  While the Dow and S&P hit new highs this year, the NASDAQ is still below its previous high.

That said, all of these charts look extended.  Even if the NASDAQ hits new high ground this year, I  expect it to fall back significantly, losing a third or so of the ground achieved since 2000.

When the momentum shifts, it will likely be to G and/or F. 

2) Clarification:  So today we are in the S Fund and based on the business cycle you may recommend C prior to the next significant downturn (recession) -- is that correct?  is your significant downturn referring to the next recession as opposed to the next correction?  

thank you mimi
 

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Posted by: hilgard50@yahoo.com
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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