Since when have “market fundamentals” ever had anything to do with what happens in the market??? You know as well as I that the market is driven by the emotions of a large herd of scared cattle, who get spooked and all run in the same direction at the same time. Irrational Exuberance…. The market can never be predicted by mathematical models, corporate profitability, etc. I wish it could be. All I am trying to do is make a move before the rest of the herd does.
I wish I had invested heavily in the corporate common 7 years ago. Now I don’t know. It seems like a very dangerous place to be right now. And yes, the article does say “in the next 2 to 3 years”, but who knows when the bottom could actually fall out? It could be Monday morning and it could be 2 years from now. Even if the coming implosion doesn’t happen for 2 or more years, I expect very minor returns over those 2 years for the brave souls stay in corporate common (or some derivative thereof, like our C and S funds).
From: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com [mailto:TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com]
Sent: Saturday, March 10, 2018 2:31 PM
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [TSP_Strategy] Why I fund
The article has no basis in fundamentals... the current trend is UP. The article says it may happen in the next 2-3 years and you are ready to move to G? If you can’t take ups and downs perhaps you should be in G full time. The long view, if you were to get in C and just leave it there you would be in good shape... even over an entire career ... sometimes S is hot, sometimes I is hot, clearly in this time of increasing interest rates F is not the place to be. G is not the place to be for long periods. Watch the fundamentals, watch crossings of simple moving averages, I watch 5, 20 and 50 day simple moving averages. Look at those crossings overlaid on historical info for the S&P 500 (C fund) notice what the crossings correlate to on the historical data to help you see how they can help your decision making. If you feel like you must look at TSP every day, plot those plots after closing for C, S, I and F every trading day. I do it every Saturday morning. There is NOBODY in this group that can or should make decisions for you... learn what others are doing, do your own research... decide where you want your funds invested, YOUR future retirement depends on it.
Art
Posted by: "steve_thompson777" <steve_thompson777@YAHOO.com>
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