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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund price target

 

I am no expert, but conventional guidance is NEVER go all in on any one asset.  However, with a 25 year horizon, you're right, you can take some risk.  Other advice…don't chase the market; don't let FOMO drive your decisions; buy into the fear, sell into the hype.


I believe the reason the I fund is doing so well is because foreign markets have been depressed (in comparison to US markets) for so long and foreign stocks could be gotten at a bargain.  While it will likely continue up if the dollar is inflated/devalued, a stronger dollar will have the opposite effect.  

My fear is that low volatility index (VIX) indicates complacency, a precursor to serious market correction.  With 25 years ahead of you, you'll see it all.  For now, mix up some G, I, S, and C funds (G is for the event the markets crash and you want to bargain hunt—it's like keeping cash on the sidelines).  I won't specify percentages, but I do recommend not putting all into one fund (other than the appropriate L fund).



On Jan 24, 2018, at 11:44 AM, Tim ellison antihippie202@hotmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Would you recommend going 100% into the I fund?  I have about 25 years until I retire so I can afford to take some risks. 


I am trying to learn based on what I am reading here and google what I don't know.  Any insight into this would be helpful. 

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 24, 2018, at 07:09, timedtrade@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

That's my thought too - my P&F calculation puts the top of EFA around 110 - which I can't totally believe as it's so high.  Almost 55% above current values....





William D. Adams
william.d.adams@comcast.net

Cointracking.info: https://cointracking.info?ref=J808995


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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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