While I enjoy reading everyone's commentary (excellent job Sarah), I'm curious if Tex has any updated thoughts? It seems as if the yield curve has "unflattened" (or risen) a bit since last fall, which seems like a market-favorable trend for the time being.
My general impression is that we are somewhat analogous to the mid/late 1990s right now for the U.S. stock market (even including crypto) and the early 2000's for international equities (EFA), with a longer-term period (decade?) of relative out-performance (vs. U.S.) potentially just starting to unfold.
Jared
On Sat, Sep 9, 2017 at 2:46 PM, mrweyl@hotmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
Some ancillary indicators are getting interesting. The Treasury yield curve, as I compute it, is at its lowest level since May of 2007, with a value of 1.02% for the difference in the yield of the 10-year treasury and the 3 month treasury. That is, the 3-month bill has an annual yield that is 1.02% below that of the 10-year bond.
This is not an inverted yield curve, but the direction is toward lower values. This could partially be a response to our recent negative weather developments and so could reverse in the absence of further negative events.
Also inflation indicators like the prices of copper and gold have been rising significantly while the dollar continues to decline noticeably in value.
Just some things to watch.
Good luck,
Tex
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Posted by: Jared Guyer <jaredguyer@gmail.com>
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