Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Final 2016 Advisory Services Performance Update

 

i think Sarah is the owner/moderator of this listserv

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From: "Nathan Lee leefamilyusa7@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: "TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Tuesday, May 30, 2017 3:06 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Final 2016 Advisory Services Performance Update [3 Attachments]

 

[Attachment(s) from Nathan Lee included below]

Hi Jim,

I am also brand new to this web site and am in need of information to better manage my TSP account.  In your email below, it appeared that you referred to an email from a lady named "Sarah" and that you had access to her input on this site, and that she gave her input from time to time (I am referring to your email below where you stated: Since Sarah recommended switching on 7 November 2017, the S Fund is up 16.11%. She wrote, "Bullish seasonal trend should kick in beginning today. S fund has a 40% potential upside from Friday's close. C fund has an 18% potential upside from Friday's close. I fund continues to be bearish. Moving to the S fund today. 100%."

I am interested in getting on that feed.  Is it possible to be included in that conversation with her?  Thanks for your help.

nathan

 

Nathan Lee

435-830-0665

leefamilyusa7@yahoo.com

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From: "JM Bud jmbud2@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, May 30, 2017 8:23 AM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Final 2016 Advisory Services Performance Update

 

Hello, Robert. I too have been a long time advocate of the TSP Center tools, and the ease of checking 50- and 200-day moving averages for trends and seeing YTD returns.

When you wrote, "note S fund for 2017 to present date is 24.93% <--" I think you meant S Fund from beginning of 2016 to present date. 

Since Sarah recommended switching on 7 November 2017, the S Fund is up 16.11%. She wrote, "Bullish seasonal trend should kick in beginning today. S fund has a 40% potential upside from Friday's close. C fund has an 18% potential upside from Friday's close. I fund continues to be bearish. Moving to the S fund today. 100%." 

Since then the I Fund actually turned in the best performance up 16.76%, with S close behind at 16.11% and C up 14.73%. Bottom line, it's been a nice run up for all the TSP equity funds since the last election. 

So far in 2017, the I Fund has been leading with 13.97% return followed by the C Fund with 8.82% and S Fund up 5.5%. See excerpts from TSP Center below.

Jim

On Mon, May 29, 2017 at 7:57 PM, robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

you ask a question. there is a --->free<--- tool that can give you this answer literally in a minute or so.

the C fund would have given you 12.01% in 2016 HOWEVER

(Note: Sarah has been keeping us, for free, in the S fund)

note: S fund for 2016 was 16.35%  <---

note S fund for 2017 to present date is 24.93% <--

(It took me 3 minutes to make these charts using the free tool

Fund Returns (Chart Range: Dec 31, 2015 - Dec 30, 2016) <<----

L 2050	L 2040	L 2030	L 2020	L 2010	L Income	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
+8.65%	+7.90%	+7.07%	+5.47%	-	+3.58%	+1.82%	+2.91%	+12.01%	+16.35%	+2.10%

Fund Returns (Chart Range: Jan 04, 2016 - May 26, 2017) <<-----

L 2050	L 2040	L 2030	L 2020	L 2010	L Income	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
+19.40%	+17.43%	+15.29%	+11.17%	-	+6.78%	+2.76%	+5.11%	+23.75%	+24.93%	+18.65%

TSP Charts & Returns - Thrift Savings Plan  link to free tool.

TSP Charts & Returns - Thrift Savings Plan TSP Center is the premier resource for government employees and military personnel participating in the TSP Thri...

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From: "roguejim@q.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Monday, May 29, 2017 7:03 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Final 2016 Advisory Services Performance Update

 

Thank you.

I'm new to all this, but it appears the S&P 500 closed out 2016 @ 9.4% for the year. Correct me if I'm wrong, but a buy and hold strategy in the C Fund would have beaten all but two advisory services. Have I got that right?

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Posted by: robert winfield <winfield100@yahoo.com>

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