Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Current and Historic of the TSP_Strategy Allocations [2 Attachments]

 

[Attachment(s) from robert winfield included below]

Why are you scared into the G fund? You have access to a large amount of data that tells you what everyone else is thinking, more or less, a consensus of the "zeitgeist" of the "Market"

I graph things daily. I ignore G fund as it's basically like ca$h, and the F fund is a mystery

But, you can download, for free, in chunks of 999 days from TSP Charts & Returns - Thrift Savings Plan

TSP Charts & Returns - Thrift Savings Plan TSP Center is the premier resource for government employees and military personnel participating in the TSP Thri...

If you have excel or similar, you can graph for a visual representation of "whats going on today, yesterday, last month, last year, etc and get a "feel"

I use moving averages for smoothing, actual daily close data, a 2 standard deviation envelop for upper and lower bounds (called Bollinger bands after John Bollinger) and a repreentation of

Is the daily close greater or lower than the 5 day moving average

Is the 5 day moving average greater or lower than the 20 day average

Is the 20 day moving average greater or less than the 50 day average

add, 0, 1, 2 or 3 depending

also, to a lesser degree, what is the 10 day average of the slope (rate of change)

here are some graphical representations 

(since you are retired, you also should have a lot of free time, I retired in 2016)

SO, to me C & S looks like going upwards, perhaps slowing, but upwards

I fund looks like it's flattening just a bit, keep an eye on

hmm, C, S, I starting to look a bit flat, but, still, but I looks weaker maybe

Rates of change (slope) decreasing it seems

SO, i'm still in S fund, but keping an eye upon it

and for perspective, about the last year of the daily, 5 day, 20 day and 50 day

(Note the breakdown of C & S and to a lesser extent around Sept  Oct., 

i play around with the parameters all the time and the graphs change, but have not figured how to do dynamic graphs yet

On Wednesday, July 24, 2019, 12:05:49 AM EDT, snpperhd@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Like Joe, I do not see any TSP_Strategy historical allocation data, just the 7 current allocations by Sarah and company.  If none is available that is fine, but can I assume that allocations are irrespective of whether you are currently retired or still working?

I am recently retired (31 Dec 2018) and currently scared into 100% G thinking a big correction is near.  Seems you all have a different opinion.  Hope that is true.

-troy

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Posted by: robert winfield <winfield100@yahoo.com>

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