Re: [TSPStrategy] S Fund graphs

I went back and read my original response. I agree, I can see it being taken as rude. Maybe I had some underlying contempt or negativity that came out in my message. I apologize to the original messenger if he received it poorly. Thanks for pointing it out KC

On Fri, Feb 19, 2021 at 7:12 AM, KC Will via groups.io

<kcwill64114=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Nah dude,

It was rude.  I hate cancel culture too but that's not what Scott's reaction was.  

I guess you either see it or you don't. 

KC Will

On Fri, Feb 19, 2021 at 7:06 AM, Ian Heskitt via groups.io

<iheskitt=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

@ Scott, 

  I am not sure why you are so offended by a simple, honest question. I didn't berate the original messenger or insult him. I just pointedly asked, "Why? Am I missing something?" I am not sure why you refer to that as "nasty". I take your response as a microchasm of the broader problem in American society. Because your feelings get hurt easily, but you may not have the depth, security, or maturity you respond constructively and opening dialog, you lash out with insults. Cancel Culture 101

On Thu, Feb 18, 2021 at 11:22 PM, judd

<judd@ionsky.com> wrote:

Add an appropriate MACD which would be a better way of doing things than a "hug"

On Fri, 19 Feb 2021 02:01:28 +0000 (UTC), "winfield100 via groups.io" <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
 

 

last 13.5 months S fund

 

 

 

Last 2 months (8 trading weeks)

(I graph this data daily, you can get it from TSP website

(go to TSP.gov. click fund performance, select share price history, it goes all the way back to June 2nd, 2003)

The 2Standard Deviation bands are based on 20 day moving average and can expand and contract. 

the raw price is the jagged line.

One thing folks who study this have noted is the raw price likes to "hug" either the top or bottom SD line, which seems to become a self fulfilling prophecy as others notice it also

Note from mid Feb 2020 when we had that "black swan" that recovered near mid-late march early April

The data points to me, are a distillation to a single number of the consensus of what a lot of people think, so take it with caution.

 

tomorrow, friday, will be interesting

 

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