Re: [TSPStrategy] S Fund graphs

Judd,

Please send formula for Excel MACD so I can add it.

On Thursday, February 18, 2021, 11:22:17 PM EST, judd <judd@ionsky.com> wrote:

Add an appropriate MACD which would be a better way of doing things than a "hug"

On Fri, 19 Feb 2021 02:01:28 +0000 (UTC), "winfield100 via groups.io" <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
 

 

last 13.5 months S fund

 

 

 

Last 2 months (8 trading weeks)

(I graph this data daily, you can get it from TSP website

(go to TSP.gov. click fund performance, select share price history, it goes all the way back to June 2nd, 2003)

The 2Standard Deviation bands are based on 20 day moving average and can expand and contract. 

the raw price is the jagged line.

One thing folks who study this have noted is the raw price likes to "hug" either the top or bottom SD line, which seems to become a self fulfilling prophecy as others notice it also

Note from mid Feb 2020 when we had that "black swan" that recovered near mid-late march early April

The data points to me, are a distillation to a single number of the consensus of what a lot of people think, so take it with caution.

 

tomorrow, friday, will be interesting