Thanks for doing these. I appreciate the insight. I’d love to see the C and I fund too ;) (in case you’ve already done those)
From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> On Behalf Of winfield100 via groups.io
Sent: Thursday, February 18, 2021 6:01 PM
To: tspstrategy@groups.io; TSPStrategy@groups.io
Subject: [EXTERNAL] Re: [TSPStrategy] S Fund graphs
last 13.5 months S fund
Last 2 months (8 trading weeks)
(I graph this data daily, you can get it from TSP website
(go to TSP.gov. click fund performance, select share price history, it goes all the way back to June 2nd, 2003)
The 2Standard Deviation bands are based on 20 day moving average and can expand and contract.
the raw price is the jagged line.
One thing folks who study this have noted is the raw price likes to "hug" either the top or bottom SD line, which seems to become a self fulfilling prophecy as others notice it also
Note from mid Feb 2020 when we had that "black swan" that recovered near mid-late march early April
The data points to me, are a distillation to a single number of the consensus of what a lot of people think, so take it with caution.
tomorrow, friday, will be interesting
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