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Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Thanks Tex, I don't think you are off on your assessment. Hopefully smarter investors can be around to profit from picking up the pieces. 

Sky


On Jan 31, 2021, at 10:17 AM, auragirl <auragirl10@gmail.com> wrote:


Tex, 

I couldn't agree more. Thanks for your insight. 

Sandy 
Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Tex, 

I couldn't agree more. Thanks for your insight. 

Sandy 
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[TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

[TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Oh, in my opinion, we are having a black swan event, but I think that it is the pandemic.

However, I also believe that the recent trading in GME and others and the social upheaval that we have experienced over the last 10 years are indicating a major societal sea change brought on by the Internet and accelerating digital technology. The latest element is the influence of social media, but that is just the beginning.

If we need more market regulation, my preference would be to have all participants be subject to exactly the same rules so that the big players cannot dictate rule changes to pull themselves out of the fire. Admittedly things have been crazy lately, but I do not like to see trading halted so that the short sellers can avoid paying the full price of their lack of discipline. Short selling (and trading in general) incurs risks, and having rules about when to close out a position is a requirement for those who want to pile on to a company in trouble. To be honest, I feel that the short sellers who lost big in GME (and the other similar stocks) were simply idiots. Closing out a position for a moderate loss is part of the trading activity. Massive losses as a result of unforgivable errors is unfortunately how we learn things. Even Jesse Livermore learned some things to ensure that he could trade again in the future.

Please forgive the rant. However, I believe that we are living a massive Black Swan event and have been for the past year. This will continue to spawn weird events like the GME situation.

Good luck,
Tex
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Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Thanks Sarah.  I took a very cautious position in November due to what I envisioned as uncertainty with the ele ruins.  I did miss out on the rise of the last months of the year and will stay out of the market for now.  Thanks for your input.  

On Sun, Jan 31, 2021, 11:06 AM sarah_oz via groups.io <sarah_oz=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Markets are overvalued and several stocks are in a bubble.
A drop is due.
February is a seasonally bear month.

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Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Markets are overvalued and several stocks are in a bubble.
A drop is due.
February is a seasonally bear month.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

No and No.
That said, expect the markets to tank in Feb.  Some may blame Gamestop but that has nothing to do with it.
Markets are overvalued and Feb is a seasonally bear month.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

I agree, Tex.
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[TSPStrategy] A simplified view of the stock market

[TSPStrategy] A simplified view of the stock market

A simplified view of the stock market:

Instead of stock shares, think of it like buying a used car.
You buy a good used car for $10,000 and think what a great deal you got. Later that day, a stranger admires your car, but tells you the car is really only worth $5,000. You start to wonder about the deal you got.

A few days later, a family member notices a small bend and discoloration of the sheet metal. He suspects the car has been wrecked and that is why you got a good deal. It can't be worth more than $2,500.

 The next week your work colleague goes to lunch with you and says your car is making a noise. You cannot hear a thing. Now you are worried about the sheet metal, the paint, the engine noise, and the future value of the car.

 Your "friend" offers you $500 for the car. You worry that the car will soon be worthless, so you take the 500.

 Ten years later, your "buddy" is still driving that same car.

Stock quotes go up and down, but you don't have to buy or sell at those prices. Dips in the market are usually short term. Much shorter than the bull market runs.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

"I am staying in G until my indicator bottoms out."

Wondering what criteria you use to determine when the bottom is reached?  Thanks again Tex for all your enlightening post.  JP...
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines


If hedge funds have to de-leverage longs to cover the shorts, it will affect the whole Market therefore TSP funds as well. 
I'd rather be in relatively safe G fund.


-----Original Message-----
From: Dave in Dallas <datruedave+GroupsIO@gmail.com>
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io
Sent: Sat, Jan 30, 2021 11:28 pm
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

I don't know for sure, but I don't think any of the TSP funds are the types of funds that would short stocks.  Many people consider that gambling instead of investing (although there are some that consider investing in stocks to be nothing more than gambling).  
 
In other words, I would think that reddit bros attacking the type of hedge funds that engage in high risk investing like shorting stocks (and manipulating individual stocks to make this more profitable) is likely not going to affect any of the TSP funds very much, if at all.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

I don't know for sure, but I don't think any of the TSP funds are the types of funds that would short stocks.  Many people consider that gambling instead of investing (although there are some that consider investing in stocks to be nothing more than gambling).  

 

In other words, I would think that reddit bros attacking the type of hedge funds that engage in high risk investing like shorting stocks (and manipulating individual stocks to make this more profitable) is likely not going to affect any of the TSP funds very much, if at all.

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Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Interesting read

Jim Hattaway


On Jan 30, 2021, at 2:21 PM, winfield100 via groups.io <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:


@Locutusoftexas 
I think a major black swan that is going on is a lot of "de-grossing" by hedge funds that are having to both cover shorts and de-leverage longs to raise equity to cover the shorts
GME caused a major problem, with shorts losing, more or less ~$17 Billion in 1 week
other hedge funds are hastily reducing leverage "de-grossing" because they don't want to go belly up like Melvin Capital may that needed a few billion infusion from 2 other short hedge funds.
they apparently were extremely leveraged and the 1,700+% rise in GME is very bad for shorts
There was a story in Washington Post about a 10 year old who's mom bought him 10 shares of GME for about $61, two years ago, that cashed out for almost $3,000 for his college fund
multiply by the 3-5 million of RobinHood folks and a massive wealth transfer is happening from wall street to main street

I'm not sure if this belongs here but things are the wildest I have seen in almost 40 years in the market

Maybe we can get Glass-Stegal (1930's) and Dodd-Frank (2008) back

On Saturday, January 30, 2021, 01:18:42 PM EST, Locutusoftexas <mrweyl@hotmail.com> wrote:


My technical indicator can be viewed as an oscillator. I use it two ways: (1) When it has risen "sufficiently," the market is in a secular uptrend and I give it two points in my version of the Zweig model. (2) If it reaches historical high levels, then I view that as a sell signal and similarly if it reaches historical low levels, then I view it as a buy signal.

Near the end of 2020, it reached the historical high levels that happen once in a blue moon (every few years or longer). So I transferred 100% from the C fund to the G fund. Then, as usual, rather than going down as it has every time in the last 30+years, stocks continued up slowly and my indicator just proceeded higher above already unprecendented levels that I saw only at the beginning of 2020 (of course). As usual the market of 2020 was a true black swan type outlier.

Nevertheless, I persevered. This week it turned downward, as did the market. Based on history, it has more to go on the downside. However, this market has been confounding, as least to me. So who knows? I am staying in G until my indicator bottoms out.

As usual, do not do what I am doing. Choose your poison.

Good luck,
Tex
Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

This App is pretty good in my view...

https://dailytsp.com/
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Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

@Locutusoftexas 
I think a major black swan that is going on is a lot of "de-grossing" by hedge funds that are having to both cover shorts and de-leverage longs to raise equity to cover the shorts
GME caused a major problem, with shorts losing, more or less ~$17 Billion in 1 week
other hedge funds are hastily reducing leverage "de-grossing" because they don't want to go belly up like Melvin Capital may that needed a few billion infusion from 2 other short hedge funds.
they apparently were extremely leveraged and the 1,700+% rise in GME is very bad for shorts
There was a story in Washington Post about a 10 year old who's mom bought him 10 shares of GME for about $61, two years ago, that cashed out for almost $3,000 for his college fund
multiply by the 3-5 million of RobinHood folks and a massive wealth transfer is happening from wall street to main street

I'm not sure if this belongs here but things are the wildest I have seen in almost 40 years in the market

Maybe we can get Glass-Stegal (1930's) and Dodd-Frank (2008) back

On Saturday, January 30, 2021, 01:18:42 PM EST, Locutusoftexas <mrweyl@hotmail.com> wrote:


My technical indicator can be viewed as an oscillator. I use it two ways: (1) When it has risen "sufficiently," the market is in a secular uptrend and I give it two points in my version of the Zweig model. (2) If it reaches historical high levels, then I view that as a sell signal and similarly if it reaches historical low levels, then I view it as a buy signal.

Near the end of 2020, it reached the historical high levels that happen once in a blue moon (every few years or longer). So I transferred 100% from the C fund to the G fund. Then, as usual, rather than going down as it has every time in the last 30+years, stocks continued up slowly and my indicator just proceeded higher above already unprecendented levels that I saw only at the beginning of 2020 (of course). As usual the market of 2020 was a true black swan type outlier.

Nevertheless, I persevered. This week it turned downward, as did the market. Based on history, it has more to go on the downside. However, this market has been confounding, as least to me. So who knows? I am staying in G until my indicator bottoms out.

As usual, do not do what I am doing. Choose your poison.

Good luck,
Tex
[TSPStrategy] technical indicator

[TSPStrategy] technical indicator

My technical indicator can be viewed as an oscillator. I use it two ways: (1) When it has risen "sufficiently," the market is in a secular uptrend and I give it two points in my version of the Zweig model. (2) If it reaches historical high levels, then I view that as a sell signal and similarly if it reaches historical low levels, then I view it as a buy signal.

Near the end of 2020, it reached the historical high levels that happen once in a blue moon (every few years or longer). So I transferred 100% from the C fund to the G fund. Then, as usual, rather than going down as it has every time in the last 30+years, stocks continued up slowly and my indicator just proceeded higher above already unprecendented levels that I saw only at the beginning of 2020 (of course). As usual the market of 2020 was a true black swan type outlier.

Nevertheless, I persevered. This week it turned downward, as did the market. Based on history, it has more to go on the downside. However, this market has been confounding, as least to me. So who knows? I am staying in G until my indicator bottoms out.

As usual, do not do what I am doing. Choose your poison.

Good luck,
Tex
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Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

there is a lot of speculation the answer is _yes_
(see another comment)
the shorts had to "de-gross"
ie: sell a bunch of their long holdings to meet margin calls, do de-risking by covering other shorts they needed funds for etc so they reduced both their long and short positions causing the entire market to tank.

On Saturday, January 30, 2021, 08:42:57 AM EST, Mark Morrison <mark3m@swbell.net> wrote:


I know GameStop has ruled the market news this week, but...

  • Was it really responsible for the across-the-board dip this week?, and
  • Will it have some lasting effect on market performance going forward?
Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines and GME

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines and GME

A children's book explanation of what's happening:

1. If you are "smart money" you are allowed to take your $1 and leverage it up to $15+

2. You can now buy $15 of stock AND if you promise to short companies, you can short $15 of stock as well 
3. In finance language, this means that you are $30 "gross" ($15 of longs + $15 of shorts) but $0 net (+$15 of longs -$15 of shorts). This makes everyone feel good because it feels like you are taking zero risk...but in reality, your $1 is exposed to $30 of risk. 
4. Now you go around and tell your friends about both your longs and your shorts and when you do it at a restaurant vs on Reddit, its called an "ideas dinner".

5. You also publish your longs on a quarterly lag via an SEC rule. You don't have to tell anyone about your shorts. 
6. Now the less cool people who weren't invited to the ideas dinners, start copying your longs based on your report.

7. You realize that publicizing your shorts is also a good idea so instead of only selling stocks, you also BUY options (puts) which has to be reported. 
8. Now everyone can see both your longs and your shorts and if you have a hot hand, you can likely predict that the cool people from the dinner as well as the less cool people monitoring your filings will copy you.

9. But then an outsider notices that the math is way off! 
10. Apparently, some of these shorts that you own represent more than 100% of the entire stock of the company. Huh?

11. So he grabs his chicken fingers and champagne and buys, starts a massive short squeeze.

12. Other's see what's happening and they jump in. 
13. Now a massive short squeeze starts. You have to cover your shorts ASAP. But the banks also notice that you don't have enough credit to cover the $30 they lent you and ask for more collateral. You now also have to sell your long positions. It looks like this: Image
14. What happens next is that a cascade of short covering and long selling starts driving some stocks to the moon and others way down. Which stocks went up? Basically the ones that were the most heavily shorted by you and your buddies in the first place.

So the outsider won? Image
It's not clear. You and your buddies are strong, rich and have a lot of influence so you need to do whatever you can to keep the rules in your favor.

Maybe the SEC will ask for an open inquiry?

Maybe Congress will hold hearings?



On Saturday, January 30, 2021, 08:40:52 AM EST, <mgraves9@gmail.com> wrote:


Huh?  You balance doesn't go down unless the fund you are invested in does. If you buy low, you are using your balance to purchase the number of shares that corresponds to your balance. From there, your balance may go up or down depending on the fund. 
[TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

[TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

I know GameStop has ruled the market news this week, but...

  • Was it really responsible for the across-the-board dip this week?, and
  • Will it have some lasting effect on market performance going forward?
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

[Edited Message Follows]

Huh?  Your balance doesn’t go down unless the fund you are invested in does. If you buy low, you are using your balance to purchase the number of shares that corresponds to your balance. From there, your balance may go up or down depending on the fund.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Huh?  You balance doesn’t go down unless the fund you are invested in does. If you buy low, you are using your balance to purchase the number of shares that corresponds to your balance. From there, your balance may go up or down depending on the fund. 
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

The G fund should be safe against any of the ongoing volatility. The S fund, and the stock market in general, is affected when other people sell holdings to gamble across other stocks, options trading, and panic selling.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

As I understand it, the safety of one's TSP assets depends significantly on their allocation

I would be careful not to conflate "anti-greed" with "anti-wealth"

FYI, something like 9 out of every 10 bucks in the market are held by millionaires rather than paycheck-to-paycheck people
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

When we go back in the S fund so we can buy low, will our balances go down?


On Fri, Jan 29, 2021 at 11:33 AM, ShaneBro via groups.io
<s.guy75=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Safe, No.  This the destruction of value via shorting is allowed.  So if recent activities are replicated widespread, the S&P and Russel will go down.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Safe, No.  This the destruction of value via shorting is allowed.  So if recent activities are replicated widespread, the S&P and Russel will go down.
[TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

[TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Forgive my ignorance. When it comes to The Stock Market I have the IQ of yeast.

In some of the forums where I lurk, the recent hedge fund screwing is being celebrated- with MANY calling to figure out other ways to "Bankrupt the Rich" via Stock Market attacks. I've pointed out that the vast majority of people owning stocks are average paycheck-to-paycheck  people, and that attacks against The Market will hurt average people. Of course my comments are sneered at.

But my question is this- Are our TSP assets safe if indeed anti-wealth crusaders figure out additional plots to disrupt The Market?
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Re: [TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?

Re: [TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?

Thank you, Buckeye.  

On Thursday, January 28, 2021, 02:19:35 PM CST, Buckeye <buckeye@oldbuckeye.com> wrote:


Log on to the webpage at https://groups.io/g/TSPStrategy/files - look towards the middle of the page, under Current Allocation.  It currently says 100% G Fund.


On 1/28/2021 12:31 PM, JOhn Watts via groups.io wrote:




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Re: [TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?

Re: [TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?

Log on to the webpage at https://groups.io/g/TSPStrategy/files - look towards the middle of the page, under Current Allocation.  It currently says 100% G Fund.


On 1/28/2021 12:31 PM, JOhn Watts via groups.io wrote:




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[TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?

[TSPStrategy] What is the current Allocation? Where can I find it?


Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

I also think that since the new stimulus has not been put in the back seat, and cutting the oil pipeline and jobs may be leading to a little nervousness of what's next....

Richard

On Jan 28, 2021, at 5:52 AM, Matt G <socalinsd@hotmail.com> wrote:


I thought a crash would also occur after the election but unprecedented Fed printing seems to have kept everything afloat in the short term.

From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> on behalf of judd <judd@ionsky.com>
Sent: Wednesday, January 27, 2021 7:26 PM
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io>; tspstrategy@groups.io <tspstrategy@groups.io>
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop
 
So one has to admit when they are wrong.

I was wrong that the election of 2 Democrats into the Senate would cause a market crash.  Turned out the S ran up likely because the Oligarchy ownership got what they wanted.

BUT...now...the question in my mind is...Is the market topping and starting to go down due to the reshuffle I predicted, just delayed OR...

Are the Hedge Funds selling long positions to cover shorts that are getting flooded with Janice Joplin (Freedom is just another word...) RobinHood ANTIFA types who are scorched-earthing them on their overfloats?

Remember...back in 2008...https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-211.htm

The edge may be closer than we realize.

When Elon starts buying GME maybe ANTIFA is looking to strip him naked in the street...as I have said before my lovely wife is from Peru.  There they are called piranhas;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ih784krLKPo

 

On Wed, 27 Jan 2021 22:32:57 +0000 (UTC), "Mark Morrison" <mark3m@swbell.net> wrote:
 
Yes, it could be the beginning of a big sell off but how many data points going forward would confirm that? What kind of cellar would we be looking for to buy back into equities?
Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

I thought a crash would also occur after the election but unprecedented Fed printing seems to have kept everything afloat in the short term.

From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> on behalf of judd <judd@ionsky.com>
Sent: Wednesday, January 27, 2021 7:26 PM
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io>; tspstrategy@groups.io <tspstrategy@groups.io>
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop
 
So one has to admit when they are wrong.

I was wrong that the election of 2 Democrats into the Senate would cause a market crash.  Turned out the S ran up likely because the Oligarchy ownership got what they wanted.

BUT...now...the question in my mind is...Is the market topping and starting to go down due to the reshuffle I predicted, just delayed OR...

Are the Hedge Funds selling long positions to cover shorts that are getting flooded with Janice Joplin (Freedom is just another word...) RobinHood ANTIFA types who are scorched-earthing them on their overfloats?

Remember...back in 2008...https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-211.htm

The edge may be closer than we realize.

When Elon starts buying GME maybe ANTIFA is looking to strip him naked in the street...as I have said before my lovely wife is from Peru.  There they are called piranhas;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ih784krLKPo

 

On Wed, 27 Jan 2021 22:32:57 +0000 (UTC), "Mark Morrison" <mark3m@swbell.net> wrote:
 
Yes, it could be the beginning of a big sell off but how many data points going forward would confirm that? What kind of cellar would we be looking for to buy back into equities?
Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

So one has to admit when they are wrong.

I was wrong that the election of 2 Democrats into the Senate would cause a market crash.  Turned out the S ran up likely because the Oligarchy ownership got what they wanted.

BUT...now...the question in my mind is...Is the market topping and starting to go down due to the reshuffle I predicted, just delayed OR...

Are the Hedge Funds selling long positions to cover shorts that are getting flooded with Janice Joplin (Freedom is just another word...) RobinHood ANTIFA types who are scorched-earthing them on their overfloats?

Remember...back in 2008...https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-211.htm

The edge may be closer than we realize.

When Elon starts buying GME maybe ANTIFA is looking to strip him naked in the street...as I have said before my lovely wife is from Peru.  There they are called piranhas;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ih784krLKPo

 


On Wed, 27 Jan 2021 22:32:57 +0000 (UTC), "Mark Morrison" <mark3m@swbell.net> wrote:
 
Yes, it could be the beginning of a big sell off but how many data points going forward would confirm that? What kind of cellar would we be looking for to buy back into equities?
Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Yes, it could be the beginning of a big sell off but how many data points going forward would confirm that? What kind of cellar would we be looking for to buy back into equities?
[TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

[TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Opinions, could this the beginning of the sell off many have been predicting? 
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Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking




then copy paste into Excel, track S, C, I with +/- 2SD moving avg envelops, linear regression lines, 5, 20 and 50 day moving avg cross overs, compute slopes and do a
is daily > 5 day Ma > 20 day ma > 50 day ma, make sums, and create oscillator

then make graphs of S and C 


On Friday, January 22, 2021, 11:03:04 AM EST, h4green via groups.io <h4green=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:


Good morning everyone,

What do you guys use to track the performance of all the different indexes. Ideally, perhaps an app or website that accurately tracks the daily changes. 

TIA

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Thanks Mike. Just checked it out. Looks great!



Sent from my T-Mobile 5G Device


-------- Original message --------
From: Mike VanAmburgh <mjv325@gmail.com>
Date: 1/22/21 10:16 AM (GMT-06:00)
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

I use the Webull app to watch stocks and indexes. It's a great platform for stock/ETF trading too.

Mike

On Fri, Jan 22, 2021 at 10:03 AM h4green via groups.io <H4GREEN=YAHOO.COM@groups.io> wrote:
Good morning everyone,

What do you guys use to track the performance of all the different indexes. Ideally, perhaps an app or website that accurately tracks the daily changes. 

TIA

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

I use the Webull app to watch stocks and indexes. It's a great platform for stock/ETF trading too.

Mike

On Fri, Jan 22, 2021 at 10:03 AM h4green via groups.io <H4GREEN=YAHOO.COM@groups.io> wrote:
Good morning everyone,

What do you guys use to track the performance of all the different indexes. Ideally, perhaps an app or website that accurately tracks the daily changes. 

TIA

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Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Stocks app, native to iOS. 


On Jan 22, 2021, at 10:03 AM, h4green via groups.io <H4GREEN=YAHOO.COM@groups.io> wrote:


Good morning everyone,

What do you guys use to track the performance of all the different indexes. Ideally, perhaps an app or website that accurately tracks the daily changes. 

TIA

[TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

[TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

Good morning everyone,

What do you guys use to track the performance of all the different indexes. Ideally, perhaps an app or website that accurately tracks the daily changes. 

TIA

Re: [TSPStrategy] Biden's election

Re: [TSPStrategy] Biden's election

Thanks for sharing....looks good to me, I'll be retiring this year 

On Thu, Jan 21, 2021 at 12:05 PM John via groups.io <toroboy682000=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
2 years retired. 

I edged in more with an IFT this morning. 
From 50 F 25 C 25 S (12/31/20)
To       35 F 30 C 35 S (1/24/20)

My simple reasoning is that the economy has a lot of rebuilding and reopening which will increase spending. 

I could have waited for a correction, but I think positive outlook outweighs. 

On Jan 20, 2021, at 2:47 PM, Flores, Deborah M via groups.io <dmflores=blm.gov@groups.io> wrote:


While reading some of the executive orders that Biden is planning on signing today (or implementing in the future), I would like to know thoughts from folks about rejoining the market. 



Debbie Flores
Outdoor Recreation Planner
U.S. Department of the Interior, Regions 8 & 10
Bureau of Land Management, California Desert District
Barstow Field Office

760-252-6041 phone

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Re: [TSPStrategy] Biden's election

Re: [TSPStrategy] Biden's election

2 years retired. 

I edged in more with an IFT this morning. 
From 50 F 25 C 25 S (12/31/20)
To       35 F 30 C 35 S (1/24/20)

My simple reasoning is that the economy has a lot of rebuilding and reopening which will increase spending. 

I could have waited for a correction, but I think positive outlook outweighs. 

On Jan 20, 2021, at 2:47 PM, Flores, Deborah M via groups.io <dmflores=blm.gov@groups.io> wrote:


While reading some of the executive orders that Biden is planning on signing today (or implementing in the future), I would like to know thoughts from folks about rejoining the market. 



Debbie Flores
Outdoor Recreation Planner
U.S. Department of the Interior, Regions 8 & 10
Bureau of Land Management, California Desert District
Barstow Field Office
2601 Barstow Rd.
Barstow, CA 92311

760-252-6041 phone

Re: [TSPStrategy] When to jump back into the market



On Thu, Jan 21, 2021 at 9:40 AM Greg Kursock <gregkursock@hotmail.com> wrote:
I am a LEO as well and from I remember JP you are correct. 


Is this the current fund allocation for January 2021 or January 2020? 
Sent from my Verizon, Samsung Galaxy smartphone



-------- Original message --------
From: "JPass via groups.io" <Jpass12=yahoo.com@groups.io>
Date: 1/21/21 11:36 AM (GMT-06:00)
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] When to jump back into the market

I'm a LEO so there shouldn't be any penalty if I withdraw before 59 1/2 if I remember correctly. 


Thanks,

JP

On Thursday, January 21, 2021, 10:22 AM, Bryan Gardner <Bryubpharm@gmail.com> wrote:

Depends on the sort of return you need to generate vs risk you can tolerate. You still have 8.5 years till you can use it without penalty.  

On Thu, Jan 21, 2021, 10:40 AM JPass via groups.io <Jpass12=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
I'm still on the sidelines holding in G watching how the S continues to climb. 

I'm tempted in moving some funds into S but according to Murphy's law, as soon as I do that the S will go into a  free fall. 

Wondering if I should take the risk or if the current trend will not hold. 

By the way, I'm eligible to retire in about a year and 7 months at the ripe age of 51. 

Any thoughts? 


Thanks,

JP

On Thursday, January 7, 2021, 8:41 AM, JPass <jpass12@yahoo.com> wrote:

At least we don't lose anything by sitting in G. Less stress too for however long we stay. Now I can concentrate a little better on my cabin addition project. Looking to retire there in less than two years. 

I checked my PIP yesterday and it was 24.31% for 2020. Nowhere near last year's 39.38% but not too bad considering 2020 was tumultuous. 

I'm happy!


Thanks,

JP

On Thursday, January 7, 2021, 8:29 AM, barbara stutts via groups.io <stuttsb=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Usually the market reacts to negative news. My husband said I trade too much, this market is crazy. All I hear is about his Bitcoin stocks!!! 




On Thursday, January 7, 2021, 9:22 AM, Mimi Bruce via groups.io <hilgard50=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Timing the market is very very hard.


On Thursday, January 7, 2021, 08:14:48 AM MST, JPass via groups.io <jpass12=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:


Seems like the S still has some steam. I moved to G a few days before the group thinking it was time to lock in gains. Now I'm not so sure. Didn't think the S had any more room to go. 


Thanks,

JP

On Thursday, January 7, 2021, 7:55 AM, barbara stutts via groups.io <stuttsb=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

The plan is still in G fund for now?




On Tuesday, January 5, 2021, 10:33 AM, Mark Morrison <mark3m@swbell.net> wrote:

But Scott's strategy makes a lot of sense to me too.

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