Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Thanks Tex, I don't think you are off on your assessment. Hopefully smarter investors can be around to profit from picking up the pieces. SkyOn Jan 31, 2021, at 10:17 AM, auragirl <auragirl10@gmail.com> wrote:Tex, I couldn't agree more. Thanks for your insight. Sandy  ...

Re: [TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Tex, I couldn't agree more. Thanks for your insight. Sandy  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2148) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your Subscription | Contact Group Owner...

[TSPStrategy] Black Swan suggested on this board

Oh, in my opinion, we are having a black swan event, but I think that it is the pandemic.However, I also believe that the recent trading in GME and others and the social upheaval that we have experienced over the last 10 years are indicating a major societal sea change brought on by the Internet and...

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Thanks Sarah.  I took a very cautious position in November due to what I envisioned as uncertainty with the ele ruins.  I did miss out on the rise of the last months of the year and will stay out of the market for now.  Thanks for your input.  On Sun, Jan 31, 2021, 11:06 AM...

Re: [TSPStrategy] January 27th, 633 point drop

Markets are overvalued and several stocks are in a bubble.A drop is due. February is a seasonally bear month. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2145) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your...

Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

No and No.That said, expect the markets to tank in Feb.  Some may blame Gamestop but that has nothing to do with it.Markets are overvalued and Feb is a seasonally bear month. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2144) | Reply...

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

I agree, Tex. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2143) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your Subscription | Contact Group Owner | Unsubscribe [prefander.leadersworkshop@blogger.com] _._,_._,_...

[TSPStrategy] A simplified view of the stock market

A simplified view of the stock market:Instead of stock shares, think of it like buying a used car.You buy a good used car for $10,000 and think what a great deal you got. Later that day, a stranger admires your car, but tells you the car is really only worth $5,000. You start to wonder about the deal...

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

"I am staying in G until my indicator bottoms out."Wondering what criteria you use to determine when the bottom is reached?  Thanks again Tex for all your enlightening post.  JP... _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2141)...

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

If hedge funds have to de-leverage longs to cover the shorts, it will affect the whole Market therefore TSP funds as well.  I'd rather be in relatively safe G fund. -----Original Message----- From: Dave in Dallas <datruedave+GroupsIO@gmail.com> To: TSPStrategy@groups.io...

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Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

I don't know for sure, but I don't think any of the TSP funds are the types of funds that would short stocks.  Many people consider that gambling instead of investing (although there are some that consider investing in stocks to be nothing more than gambling).     In other words,...

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

Interesting readJim HattawayOn Jan 30, 2021, at 2:21 PM, winfield100 via groups.io <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote: @Locutusoftexas I think a major black swan that is going on is a lot of "de-grossing" by hedge funds that are having to both cover shorts and de-leverage...

Re: [TSPStrategy] TSP tracking

This App is pretty good in my view...https://dailytsp.com/ _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#2137) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your Subscription | Contact Group Owner | Unsubscribe...

Re: [TSPStrategy] technical indicator

@Locutusoftexas I think a major black swan that is going on is a lot of "de-grossing" by hedge funds that are having to both cover shorts and de-leverage longs to raise equity to cover the shortsGME caused a major problem, with shorts losing, more or less ~$17 Billion in 1 weekother...

[TSPStrategy] technical indicator

My technical indicator can be viewed as an oscillator. I use it two ways: (1) When it has risen "sufficiently," the market is in a secular uptrend and I give it two points in my version of the Zweig model. (2) If it reaches historical high levels, then I view that as a sell signal and similarly if...

Re: [TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

there is a lot of speculation the answer is _yes_(see another comment)the shorts had to "de-gross"ie: sell a bunch of their long holdings to meet margin calls, do de-risking by covering other shorts they needed funds for etc so they reduced both their long and short positions causing the...

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines and GME

A children's book explanation of what's happening:1. If you are "smart money" you are allowed to take your $1 and leverage it up to $15+2. You can now buy $15 of stock AND if you promise to short companies, you can short $15 of stock as well 3. In finance language, this...

[TSPStrategy] What about GameStop?

I know GameStop has ruled the market news this week, but... Was it really responsible for the across-the-board dip this week?, and Will it have some lasting effect on market performance going forward? _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply...

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

[Edited Message Follows] Huh?  Your balance doesn’t go down unless the fund you are invested in does. If you buy low, you are using your balance to purchase the number of shares that corresponds to your balance. From there, your balance may go up or down depending on the fund. _._,_._,_...

Re: [TSPStrategy] The Recent 'Shorting' Headlines

Huh?  You balance doesn’t go down unless the fund you are invested in does. If you buy low, you are using your balance to purchase the number of shares that corresponds to your balance. From there, your balance may go up or down depending on the fund.  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: ...