In reading what you have just written, is now a good time to move the percentage of my TSP in F to S? I am retired, so no more allocation, but have 20% still in F which in the last 12 months has done me no favors. Thanks.
Rick
On Saturday, October 7, 2017 12:46 PM, "robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
[Attachment(s) from robert winfield included below]
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From: "sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Saturday, October 7, 2017 1:36 PM
Subject: [TSP_Strategy] Notice the Effect of the USD
I have been looking at the 15 day moving average of the slopes of the C, S and I funds.
It looks like, using a 15 day moving average to smooth things out,
about 6.5 weeks ago (day 33) the S fund turned upwards to day 1 (yesterday)
The C & I funds have been, (in terms of slope of returns), pretty much in lockstep for the last 3 months ~64 trading days.
It also looks like confirming Sarah's surmise, about 2 weeks ago, the C & I funds diverged with the I going flatter and the C turning up
All these with -->15<-- day smoothing averages
---->(NOTE: READ THE CHART RIGHT TO LEFT<<<<-------
day 1 was friday, day 6 was friday last week, day 61 is 12 weeks AGO
READ RIGHT TO LEFT
(Right is the past, left is now)
The S looks very "tasty" to me also, even though it's flatter, and I continue for me to be 100% in S, so I thank Sarah for her excellent work and pointing me in the right directions
i'm NOT giving investing advice though, and i rarely if ever trade
"why sell a winner? it's a winner"
From: "sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Saturday, October 7, 2017 1:36 PM
Subject: [TSP_Strategy] Notice the Effect of the USD
As the USD has increased above its 50 day MA, I fund returns have dropped significantly.
During the past 3 months, returns have been as follows:
S fund 6.25%
I fund 5.5%
C fund 5.2%
Two months:
S fund 5.25%
C fund 2.8%
I fund 1.4%
One month:
S fund 6.25%
C fund 3.5%
I fund 1.3%
During the past 3 months, returns have been as follows:
S fund 6.25%
I fund 5.5%
C fund 5.2%
Two months:
S fund 5.25%
C fund 2.8%
I fund 1.4%
One month:
S fund 6.25%
C fund 3.5%
I fund 1.3%
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Posted by: Rick Harris <cmoreparks@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.
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