No, i did not leave.
I am doing as Sarah, the moderator, asked, and responding to keep the level of comity here at an appropriate level.
To help you with your investing go to tspcenter
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download 4 years of free data, to excel
use the moving average feature on that site.
examine F, C, S, I funds
use 20, 50, 200 day moving averages
become aware of the positive or negative slopes of the returns
Focus upon the C,S,I funds, the F looks terrible at present
reduce the time frame to 2 years, about 500 days
focus closer
reduce again to 1 year, then 6 months
closely looks at the curves of the returns
then do 3 months
look at the slopes of the C,S,I
realize with this very powerful tool explicitely designed to analyze the 4 TSP funds, that you can download free data from, and is free to use,
basically says "listen to Sarah or do a lot of work duplicating her much more extensive knowledge, but that you can use the tools freely available to you to increase your knowledge, 1/2 hour a day during lunchtime.
The knowledge is being freely offered to you, free.
I will give you a few hints, that you have to use the data and specifically the moving averages and slopes of the lines, that i have both lost and gained shares with, but overall gained 83 additional shares of S fund, extremely cautiously.
if you study the 20,50,200 day moving averages, the SLOPES of the lines, there are rare inconsitencies and diveregences that can be used with extreme caution, which most likely will fail a lot of the time.
i am not in the business of giving investment advice, and any losses are not my fault to be explicitely clear.
again, my suggestion is download at least 4 years of all the free data (they only let you get 999 days maximum),
make additional columns of 20,50,200 day simple moving averages,
make an additional column with logical If statement (more or less) "is daily close > 20 daySMA, AND is 20daySMA> 50daySMA AND is 50day SMA > 200daySMA then if TRUE +1, otherwise 0"
make another column to sum the 0's and 1's (vaguely fractall like 2nd derivitive, kinda)
then tweak the totals for how many days you want summed, then look for a trigger number to say,
"move this fund to that fund, the slope is _momentarily_ steeper, but move back and remember only 2 moves per month,
This will give you an intimate glimpse into the stock market, who's doing what summed and distilled as a single number, "the study of crowds"
(remember,
the C fund is S&P 500(INDEXSP:.INX) (a subset of the market, the 500 top US companies)
the S fund is Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index(INDEXDJX:DWCPF (The whole US stock market) distilled to a single number, what millions think in a single number all the little upstarts)
the I fund is iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund (ETF) (NYSEARCA:EFA (an exchange traded fund, if i remember about 10 of largest foreign countries, help please)
The F fund is iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond Fund (NYSEARCA:AGG) (presently in my dawg house, but always bears watching, "when stocks are high, bonds will die")
(this data is freely available daily and updated during the day by the minute on the TSPcenter web site, click the boxes at the bottom of the page)
what millions of people, summed together, in aggregate are thinking, removes outliers, smooths data, removes emotion, and a deeper understanding of "why did that happen?" It doesnt anticipate "black swans" like Eisenhowers heart attack (market brushed it off), Kennedy, (same) Nixon resignation (nada) flash crash of 1987 (tiny blip overall, scary for 1 day) 9/11 but you realize even "Black swan events" have little effect
They are called "black swans" because they are extremely rare and beautiful to observe, and sometimes portend discontinuities between the past and future for the observant
(another hint for the ones who followed this, this far. think long and hard if you own a car. what does it really cost you? why do you own one, how many hours per day or per week is it unused, parked, taking up your money. If you didnt't own it how much more money would you save, how much could you reduce your income and have the same income without a car
If you want to partially transition to no car, get rid of the gas station, and cut fuel costs 66-75%
If you care to observe an actual "black swan/discontinuity"
here is 1 from only 4 years ago that if you understand is a true black swan event
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or just relax, follow Sarah. If you have to diversify, the L funds diversify and rebalance daily, ~22 days/month
And I follow Sarah and follow here advice as Sarah is very knowledable and knows far more than I do
From: "vic xuan victor.xuan@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: "Nathan Lee leefamilyusa7@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Thursday, July 20, 2017 12:16 AM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund?
Don't let Robert leave? You are part of the corruption. I guess you like to condescend people like him.
On Wednesday, July 19, 2017, 11:32:14 AM MDT, Nathan Lee leefamilyusa7@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
....dont' leave. your input is appreciated.
From: "robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: "TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 18, 2017 3:27 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund?
r From: "borderpatrol_dude@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Tquoestio: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesnday, July 18, 2017 1:38 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund?
Nathan Lee
435-830-0665
leefamilyusa7@yahoo.com
From: "robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: "TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Tuesday, July 18, 2017 3:27 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund?
why thank you for your observation. I may be a "horses ass", but a horses ass in the top 8% of the TSP
I provided free of charge an extremely simple system that will allow you to
decide the answer to your question "should I move my TSP from this fund to that fund" that removes emotion, that others charge $150+/year. If you are ten years from retirement, you have about 1,500 days to make sucessful investments and a maximum of _less_ than 250 potential trades to secure all your TSP retirement funds..
And I both follow Sarah, and also thank her for her unpaid work here.
If you wish me to leave, I will acceed to the groups wishes
If you wish false modesty and fake humility, look elsewhere
happy investing
robert
r From: "borderpatrol_dude@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
Tquoestio: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesnday, July 18, 2017 1:38 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: I fund?
Robert, you're just a horses ass. When you call people timid and berate them, plan on getting something back in your face. Take your million dollar club and enjoy it alone because nobody sticks around people like you unless they are using you for your money. Learn a bit of humility.
On Jul 18, 2017 9:11 AM, "robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
Until you are literally a member of the $1 million club, don't insult me
Wow, someone forgot their Abilify this morning. If you would like to say I'm wrong, then spit it out. If you would like to tell me not to post my personal opinions, then spit it out.I agree 100% moves are mathematically the best option. Unfortunately my confidence level and risk acceptance is not at this point in the market cycle.
__._,_.___
Posted by: robert winfield <winfield100@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.
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