Re: [TSPStrategy] Still in G?

Winfield said "S fund is not made to be traded.  most traders lose money, many lose _everything_, buying high and selling low, over and over". With that in mind, and if that is true, doesn't our TSP strategy of buying/selling S fund 100% seem to be a statistically poor strategy?

On Friday, March 12, 2021, 8:32:43 AM CST, winfield100 via groups.io <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

what I do and such

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Above is 1 reason why I stayed. look at 1 day, 1 week, 1 month indicators

This gives me confidence, a whole slew of oscillators, moving averages, momentums etc

It becomes "Self fulfilling prophecies"

On 12/31/2020 S fund was 74.2

On   3/11/2021 S fund was 82.98

(thats a gain of about 12%)(in 9 weeks!)

(I bounced out and back in)

and this.

A visual graph of "Whats going on"

 
(this is actually 12 months not 14 but you should get the idea)

last half of Feb 2021 was "not good" but graphically we are up and linear regression line of 20 day moving average is up

(I'm a bit concerned about 20 day moving average curling over which will bear watching but overall trends seem upwards

(last 10 weeks S fund)

( download data daily from TSP.Gov)

Share price history | Thrift Savings Plan

Share price history | Thrift Savings Plan

You can also

BUT overall S fund went from low of 34.55 on 3/14/2020 to high of 85 a month ago

S fund _ALSO_ went from around 55 around 1/1/2020 to high of 85 a month ago.

S fund is not made to be traded.  most traders lose money, many lose _everything_, buying high and selling low, over and over

you _cannot_ beat the Algo's and HFT's (high frequency traders) who literaly use the speed of light to go faster then competators and literally folks wrap spools of fiber optic to slow down others. did your trade get in 1 second faster?

On Friday, March 12, 2021, 05:49:58 AM EST, KC Will via groups.io <kcwill64114=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Good for you.  What made you not go into G when the group went there? 

On Fri, Mar 12, 2021 at 2:51 AM, Shaina Loren via groups.io

<ray2093=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Stayed in the S Fund all this time. My February 2021 PIP for the past 12 months wouldn't have  been 65.73% had I stayed in the G Fund