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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Yield Curve Inversion and Stock Market Performance

 

I've been incommunicado. Just came off a week's leave in sunny Siesta Key, Florida.  Can't help but think/hope the stock market will respond favorably to the news of "No Collusion".  ;  )

On Saturday, March 23, 2019, 12:36:55 PM EDT, sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:


 


Yield curve inversion and stock market performance

It would be worthwhile to take a look at stock market returns following a yield curve inversion. Surprisingly, the stock market has continued to gain until after such an event and has peaked much later, after providing a return of around 21% on average.

(Source - Bloomberg)

This is a classic illustration of the economic life-cycle stage in which the inversion of the yield curve occurs. As an inversion occurs very late in the economic life-cycle, the markets obviously have more legs to go as short-term economic performance of the country would remain to be attractive, along with higher corporate profits, until corporate profits reach the peak.

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Posted by: Daryl Bentley <hams29avi@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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