Re: [TSPStrategy] G Fund

On Wednesday, December 30, 2020, 07:35:48 AM EST, sarah_oz via groups.io <sarah_oz=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Moving to the G fund today to lock in profits.

As am I yesterday

reasons: the daily price of DWCPF "S" fund is trending downwards and about to cross the 20 day simple moving average

Notice the daily has been "hugging" the +2standard deviation line (Bollinger Band) since early November.

from history and folks who study Bollinger Bands, the raw price "likes" to hug one of the two 2SD bands, upper or lower

there are a lot of people who follow this so it becomes a "self fulfilling prophacy"

    Next the slopes of the 2 and 4 week moving averages and going bad (10 day and 20 day, i leave out the 50 day)

they are "rolling over"  so to speak and starting to point down, the more responsive 2 week down and the 4 week virtually flat

finally, a years worth of the S Fund (DWCPF)

notice how the raw data seems to like the +/- 2 standard deviation line, 1'000's of other folks notice it also

So, ?Will S fund retrace to ~68? I have no idea other than probabilities, however, I also am in Ca$h, ie G fund

It took a lot of will power to recover from Feb/Mar 2020

   

Now the C Fund which tracks the S&P 500 is looking a bit flat but bears watching

looks flat also to my tired eyes

Happy new year to all.

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Ditulis oleh: Andriansyah -