Re: [TSPStrategy] S FUND

 this may help

I am a bit worried about the spike in the S fund on the right side

everything started at $10

this is a 17  year graph, 

G fund is like cash in a mattress, F fund is almost the same, 2 flat lines from left to right on the bottom, no risk no reward

Next up is I fund, note how it parallels the C & S funds above it.

Next 2 are the C & S funds, pretty parallel in terms of returns and ups and downs

the only worrisome thing to me is the sudden upward spike in the S fund vs the lower upward of the C fund

I only personally graph about the last 2-4 months to get a feel of what's going on

(I have been retired since early 2016)

have real data to support your thesis though, why you are worried, what happened last time etc

study things

It is after all, how you will support yourself in retirement, take charge.

I also follow trends and "whiz kids" who do research,and also analyze trends that study technology as well

The entire planet is on high alert due to virus's, so genetics are hot topics

similarly climate change, what technologies will mitigate that, renewables of all kinds

decentralization of everything, 

but this is supposed to be focused upon TSP so i will sign off

On Sunday, December 27, 2020, 07:20:39 AM EST, Ian Heskitt via groups.io <iheskitt=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Via

On Sunday, December 27, 2020, 6:56 a.m., winfield100 via groups.io <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Please be specific

Watch out for what?

In my 38+ years in the markets, the overall markets prefer stability not chaos and uncertainty 

People who honor contracts

People of honor running things

So to be specific, watch out for honest people honoring contracts, market stability, believing in science and technology and growth for all peoples in the future where everyone prospers

You might try simply graphing with simple moving averages the S, C, F, I and G funds

over the range of the TSP and look at the gains and losses

If you want to go back further the ticker symbol for S is DWCPF and the C is the S&P500 and just look at the actual numbers of the actual data and what was going on around then

Go back further, the markets reaction to Eisenhower's heart attack 

Markets fluctuate but prefer stability not random chaos

Right now we seem to be in the beginning of a vast change away from finite polluting fossil fuels to clean much less expensive renewables for roughly the next 20 years

Look at a picture of the Easter parade in NYC in 1901.

 All Horse drawn carriages and 1 car

Same vantage point in 1913,

 _All_ cars except one horse drawn carriage.

C fund is S&P 500. 

There is a reason companies are in the S&P 500, think for a moment what that is

S fund DWCPF Dow Jones completion index

growth 

Go back and look at the graphs you made of 10-20 years of those 5 funds in the TSP

Are there blips? Yes obviously 

BUT

What is the slope, a linear regression line, what your eyes tell you even

Can you even see the G fund line by the way?

What funds prospered overall?

How much time do you have before withdrawals 

I seriously dislike FUD,

 "fear, uncertainty, doubt"

Give cogent reasons why, not FUD for changes like "watch out, the boogy man will get you, ghosts and shadows to fear"

Rationality and reasons 

Markets fluctuate things take time to recover what are your time horizons and needs

Merry Christmas happy Hanukkah happy holidays 

Spring is coming 

On Dec 27, 2020, at 5:43 AM, Matt G <socalinsd@hotmail.com> wrote:



Besides Biden, If the Dems take the 2 GA seats, watch out!  

I'm already 100% G, waiting to see how things shake out...

---

From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> on behalf of sarah_oz via groups.io <sarah_oz=yahoo.com@groups.io>
Sent: Saturday, December 19, 2020 12:40 PM
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io>
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] S FUND

 

We might move to the G fund, as well, by year's end, just to be on the safe side.