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[TSP_Strategy] Re: "Unemployment Rate Trend may signal end of the bull market"

 

.. Or continuation of the current bear market, whatever you think we are in right now.  


I see this as typical advice from the Motley Fool.  With a caveat at the end, of course, so they won't look too stupid if it does not come to pass.  However, what I had not heard was the U.S. unemployment rate for January, which was reported in early February, moved higher than the 12-month simple moving average of previous monthly unemployment rates.   Curious if anyone had any thoughts on this and their comment below.


"The recent change in the unemployment rate trend could mean that a recession is on the way and the long bull market is about to finally end.


Because of the past predictive accuracy of this indicator, investors should at least think before investing a lot of money. But you should also take into account the past false alarms for the indicator. The good times just might keep on rolling."   Google subject if you wish to read their entire post


We are currently in a bear market.

The January unemployment rate was exaggerated by the federal government shutdown.

http://fortune.com/2019/02/01/jobs-numbers-january/


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