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Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Well said Richard. The S fund is loaded with good innovative companies like Uber, Zoom, and Snap that will eventually bounce back. For now the macro head winds are very tough and I guess their valuations just rose too fast after the last QE. Like you said, it may take a year or two. Thanks John >...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I faintly recall this group having 3000 or 5000 members when we were on yahoo.  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3354) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your Subscription | Contact...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Yea I just can't log in anymore but I get the emails.Sent from the all new AOL app for iOSOn Friday, May 20, 2022, 7:41 AM, Dave in Dallas <datruedave+GroupsIO@gmail.com> wrote:On Fri, May 20, 2022 at 05:49 AM, MD2018 wrote: I've been a member for years and I thought I had successfully transitioned...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

On Fri, May 20, 2022 at 05:49 AM, MD2018 wrote: I’ve been a member for years and I thought I had successfully transitioned to groups.io. At least I know I had been able to post messages from the internet site. However over a year ago I was not able to log in to the group from the internet. The main...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I've been a member for years and I thought I had successfully transitioned to groups.io. At least I know I had been able to post messages from the internet site. However over a year ago I was not able to log in to the group from the internet. The main page on groups.io shows that I need to apply for...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Question for any of the most recent members of this group - Did you have to request membership from the moderator before being granted access? That's what Sarah did years ago when she was the Yahoo group moderator. If so, that might give us an idea of how recently she was moderating the group.The...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I fell for that Nov call as well. In hind sight it was a bad call but at the time it did seem a reasonable call. Almost all seasonal investment strategies show November and December as positive months. Actually C-Fund hit an all-time high in Dec. And there was a short Santa Clause rally. Probably the...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

So I've only been in this group less than two years and was intrigued by the many longtime members who swore by Sarah's great market insight and solid TSP track record over the years.  Recently someone here stated that they really missed the in-depth analysis she shared that was the basis for...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

That sounds like something she maybe would want to share, not sure, I certainly hope she and her family are well. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3347) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic ...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

LOL, maybe she became a TSP millionaire.  (she certainly was on point in the early years).  And retired to Bora Bora. On Thursday, May 19, 2022, 12:47:30 PM EDT, bradley williams <bradley.m.williams2@gmail.com>...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Since I am assuming no one knows 'Sarah' personally.  A logical explanation would be a tragedy, which is unfortunate to think of.On Thu, May 19, 2022 at 10:40 AM Tsp novice <red12blue@hotmail.com> wrote:Ok that's something I agree with except why totally abandon your baby(this...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Ok that's something I agree with except why totally abandon your baby(this forum). I would at least farewell and bow out. Something isn't right and we'll never know. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3344) | Reply To Group |...
[TSPStrategy] TSP Millionaires?

[TSPStrategy] TSP Millionaires?

I have seen from time to time articles touting the Number of Millionaires in the TSP.  I wonder now with the downturn - how many TSP Millionaires have fallen out of the club? _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3343) | Reply...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Great perspective. I certainly wouldn’t want that responsibility — don’t blame her a bit if that’s her perspective. I’ll view this group in this light from now on. Thanks for sharing.  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

I think Texas should take the helm. He has some good insight. Carlos MirandaMirandarts@gmail.comOn May 11, 2022, at 10:44 AM, tranquang via groups.io <tranquang=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:Isn't her silent for so long enough as her acknowledgement that she is no longer monitor this group?...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Over the past few years it seemed to me that Sarah was hoping to transition "TSP Strategy" to a self-managed group. As much as she eschewed market timing, I wonder if it bothered her that many in the group waited anxiously to copy her exact moves at the exact same time, and be willing to do so...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

Isn't her silent for so long enough as her acknowledgement that she is no longer monitor this group? _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3339) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your Subscription...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

Re: [TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

To anyone who has problems on this forum, I do recommend going to https://www.facebook.com/groups/thriftsavingsplan.  Their strategy is pretty much stay in C and S though they shift percentages depending on what's happening. They do charts, graphs, memes to demonstrate all of their points. But...
[TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

[TSPStrategy] Where is sarah_oz

So now we have at least 3 requests for her to acknowledge her presence and still nothing. The last time we heard from her was 11/21/2021 — very close to 6 months ago.  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3337) | Reply To Group...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Thanks for the comprehensive list of TSP advisory services.I found the Grow My TSP site's walkthrough and discussion of the charts informative and helpful.https://vimeo.com/707375408/8124467d79-- Gus   _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. ...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I hope Sarah is well also. My gut feeling is that she is OK but perhaps had some life events that distracted her from this site, and/or she lost interest in maintaining it. If the latter is true, it would have been nice if she acknowledged that she was not going to be participating at the level she...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Hind sight is 20/20. She also provided quite a few tools for analysis and comparison. I for one very appreciative for her "advice". Hope she is well. Stan Kays srkays@gmail.comOn May 9, 2022, at 13:00, Ken Johnston via groups.io <KJohns4456=aol.com@groups.io> wrote: went to G in January...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Kurt Peterson, you are one of the few brave enough to tell it like it is. https://www.tspgurus.com/  _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#3333) | Reply To Group | Reply To Sender | Mute This Topic | New Topic Your...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

went to G in January 2021 so 0 for 2, not many willing to predict when to enter or exit so at least she had some good calls in the past. -----Original Message----- From: Kurt Peterson <kurtphyre@gmail.com> To: TSPStrategy@groups.io Sent: Mon, May 9, 2022 1:56 pm Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy]...
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Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Her advice since I've been a member of this group, for a few years now, has been pure garbage.On Mon, 9 May 2022, 18:36 Del Brett, <bretdelman@msn.com> wrote: Not really a bad call long term, thats almost guaranteed, its her group if she is around but who knows with the covid problem. ...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Not really a bad call long term, thats almost guaranteed, its her group if she is around but who knows with the covid problem.  S fund is up big time over the last 10 years! From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> on behalf of Carlos Miranda <mirandarts@gmail.com>...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I probably would have closed my account after that recommendation too.  I'm sure she's fine   She just knows that was a horrible call. Carlos MirandaMirandarts@gmail.comOn May 9, 2022, at 1:18 PM, Jewels and Rusty <rujusaka@gmail.com> wrote:I specifically requested that Sarah...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I specifically requested that Sarah pipe in just to let us know she was ok and still with us. There was no response. I unfortunately think something has happened to her. It’s a good discussion group now but I wouldn’t rely on the 100% S recommendation. _._,_._,_ Groups.io Links: You receive...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

On Sat, May 7, 2022 at 04:44 PM, Rich Tracy Jr wrote: I’ve been in G since the move before the Inauguration and didn’t move back to S when the recommendation changed.  Obviously, I regretted that until now.    ... I too am now looking for close to bottom to jump back in. ...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Thanks for keeping up the Zweig Model. I read the book years ago and remember Zweig's appearances on TV. One simple piece of advise he offered was to avoid the risks of the spring and summer stock market. Most of the gains in stocks occur in the last three months of the year. Buy in October and sell...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

I don't quite understand or follow the Zweig model, but have both been in and followed the markets since 1981I remember the "crash" of fall 1983, a tiny tiny blip on the long term graphs.I'm personally and have been following renewables for the last 30+ years, few good ones few bad ones.IF...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Bingo Brett.That's a Winning strategy.On Sun, May 8, 2022 at 10:32 AM Del Brett <bretdelman@msn.com> wrote: Yes unless you are withdrawing your tsp or selling shares you will not lose money no matter how bad the group is or how you messed up lol.  This group has never been one...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Thanx Tex. Haven't heard from you in a while. Do you happen to know if Sarah has left the group?  She has done a great job providing a forum for advice, comment and experience. Take careStanStan Kays srkays@gmail.comOn May 8, 2022, at 16:04, Locutusoftexas <mrweyl@hotmail.com>...
Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Re: [TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

Tex,Thank you very much for this information.  May I ask, are you still in the C or S fund or did you move to the G fund?  Thank you,MarySent from Yahoo Mail for iPadOn Sunday, May 8, 2022, 5:04 PM, Locutusoftexas <mrweyl@hotmail.com> wrote:FWIW, the Zweig Model is now an outright...
[TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

[TSPStrategy] Zweig Model

FWIW, the Zweig Model is now an outright sell for the first time since at least the financial crisis of 2008-9.None of the major elements are likely to move from negative to positive this year. A short-term up trend could take it into neutral territory. I am expecting consumer installment debt to cross...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I was getting close to becoming a TSP millionaire but that is no longer the case for obvious reasons. I'm still a millionaire (net worth) but that may not be the case if the TSP continues the downward spiral. Worked really hard to being able to retire early (end of 2022) but...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

I was a tsp millionaire until I left my strategy and took the Nov advise and went all in. I don't blame anyone but myself for deviating from my moderate exposure to 100% hoping to catch the Xmas rally. Should have got out Jan 1 and went I was down 10%. Now down over 20%. Just hoping it's...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Yes unless you are withdrawing your tsp or selling shares you will not lose money no matter how bad the group is or how you messed up lol.  This group has never been one that everyone follows the investment of the group leader.  We use to compete with different ideas to see who had the...
Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Re: [TSPStrategy] End of the road

Hopefully not much more bleeding. 🤞🏻Thanks,JPOn Saturday, May 7, 2022, 5:31 PM, Claus Ullstad <ullstadusn@gmail.com> wrote:I moved 60% to G this past Jan. Wishing I had moved it all. But my bet is 30k for Dow. Maybe 31. Not worried about when it reverses, more so how much bleeding it's...
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