Re: [TSPStrategy] Tsp and _not_ trading

I submit S skyrocketed after the covid crash in 2020 because the fed created a lot of cheap money and the central gov't gave out tons of $$ to the populace.  A lot of money sloshing around encourages investing in risky startups and momentum stocks.  Hence it sloshed to S.  Now those sources of $$ are drying up.  The market is re-calibrating to more staid companies.  No guarantee C will thrive though.  And as for I or F, FED tightening makes for a stronger dollar, money will flow out of I.  And higher future interest rates make current bond portfolios worth less, , , so F will go down.  Look at the chart of AGG.  C is your best bet in the medium term.  If you are in your youth and mid life,  buying S with your monthly check may work for U as the economy goes back into growth after this FED tightening cycle, a few years from now.

Wash, rinse, repeat.

On Saturday, January 8, 2022, 12:13:49 PM EST, JOHN HOLLIS via groups.io <john.hollis_oo4=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

I don't think S lags behind C in the long run: if you look at a 2-year chart overlay of DWCPF (S) and S&P500 (C) together, you'll note that S skyrocketed in 2020 after the crash whereas C rose steadily and consistently. Now they're both at the same level as had you invested in either of them back in 2020.  The laggard has always been the I fund, but now may be it's chance to catch up, particularly if the Euro rises from its current weakness.  If we ever dig out of this S hole from November I'll probably just go CSI long term and stop screwing with IFTs!

On Jan 8, 2022, at 11:33 AM, Frank Lee <pleeoh624@gmail.com> wrote:



I think we are.

On Fri, Jan 7, 2022 at 9:55 PM JOHN HOLLIS via groups.io <John.hollis_oo4=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

So are you riding it out in S?