Re: [TSPStrategy] How low to go.

First define what you mean

"recover from this mess"

what is your time horizon?

These are =>retirement funds<=

When are you retiring?

this graph goes back 18+ years

this graph goes back 12 or so years

10 year horizon?

6 years?

What is your time horizon to get out of whatever the "mess" is

first define "what the mess is"

6 year graph with linear regression lines added to get the slope

(my personal suspicion is the S Fund has overshot downwards and with bounce back up)

2 years?

On Saturday, January 29, 2022, 12:34:02 PM EST, Nelson Garcia via groups.io <it2garcia=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

Political aside how long do you guys think we can recover from this mess? Too late for me to go to G now. I learned my lesson during the start of the pandemic panic.

On Jan 29, 2022, at 9:12 AM, winfield100 via groups.io <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:



agree with previous poster.

will stop political posts and focus on TSP

On Saturday, January 29, 2022, 11:39:24 AM EST, judd <judd@ionsky.com> wrote:

Baseless?  Really?  And I suppose Hilary didn't have a private server destroyed right?  Right?

OK, so Ivanka got some trademark deals and ZTE got unsanctioned...could have been a nothing burger.  Could have been ZTE wasn't that big a security issue since they were selling cell phone technology in Iran and North Korea...two countries with very little influence beyond wagging their nuke programs.

The fact is the Bidens, through Hunter and his money management buddies, have received millions of dollars directly from our foreign adversaries.  Directly.

Anyone who doesn't understand the difference between a direct cash payment and getting a favorable interpretation on regulations hasn't ever run a business that interacts with a government.
 

On Sat, 29 Jan 2022 14:57:10 +0000 (UTC), "winfield100 via groups.io" <winfield100=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
 

 

makes points, then ruins then with baseless conspiracy theories

 

the Chinese funded Ivanka, the daughter, not Don Jr the son with her licensing deals

get the sex of the perp correct at least

 

On Saturday, January 29, 2022, 09:26:22 AM EST, JPass via groups.io <jpass12=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

 

 

Spot on Judd. But be careful you may be accused of parroting talking points when starting the obvious. 


Thanks,

 

JP

 

On Saturday, January 29, 2022, 6:43 AM, judd <judd@ionsky.com> wrote:

 

I suggest reading;
https://www.bea.gov/news/blog/2022-01-27/gross-domestic-product-fourth-quarter-and-year-2021

The GDP is strongly influenced by the cost of goods to the consumer.  The massive spike in energy prices is largely to blame.  The punch lines from the OFFICIAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC AFFAIRS article are;

"Real disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income adjusted for taxes and inflation—decreased5.8 percent in the fourth quarter after decreasing 4.3 percent in the third quarter."

which is directly followed by the reason why;

"Prices of goods and services purchased by U.S. residents increased 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 5.6 percent in the third quarter.

• Energy prices increased 40.7 percent in the fourth quarter while food prices increased 9.2 percent.
   
• Excluding food and energy, prices increased 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 5.1 percent in the third quarter."

So, frankly, anyone that thinks this pop in GDP was a good thing is the fool who will be soon parted with his money, or is getting funded by the Chinese through his son.  Inflation is a tax and we're being ripped off in the short term (but protected from our enemies in the long term...a clue to the unspoken truth) by the day one decisions.


 

On Fri, 28 Jan 2022 20:44:17 -0800, jdinvesting@kh11.net wrote:

Versus the recession we came out off in 2020....GDP is the best since 1984.  Hiring out paced the last administration.   But you think after year in office the WH has created this mess??  I think you should look at other news sources and read books on economics instead of parroting talking points.