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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Who is selling in May?

 

well, how are the 50 and 200 day moving averages doing on C, F, S, and I looking? 
(Say from 9/1/2016)
any convergence or divergence? any flattening, what is the trend?
use moving averages, 50 and 200 day from below site

F looks like a disaster, 50 day rising BUT BELOW 200 day even tho rising, 200 flat/down/flat
C looks still good 50 day rising but slowing and ABOVE 200, which is also rising and both uptrends
S looks not as good as C, 50, 200 both rising, BUT 50 starting to flatten but still up but 50 and 200 are CONVERGING
I actually looks interesting, 50,200 both rising, lines are DIVERGING (50 rising faster)

Go back, do the same, using a 20, 50, 200 day set of moving averages to smooth the data?

20 day above the 50 day above the 200 day is what you want 
50 slower than 20 and 200 slower than 50

PRESENTLY

F fund. 20 day above 50 day, BUT both BELOW the 200
C fund  20 day and 50 day, same number but ABOVE the 200 (yuck)
S fund  20 day BELOW the 50 day, both ABOVE the 200 (double yuck)
I fund   20 day ABOVE the 50, 50 day ABOVE the 200, {20 slitely converging on the 50} (hmmm)

todays date 4/24/2017, SO you have 3 moves per month... (last move is to G, which is essentially ca$h)

THIS IS __NOT___ investment advice.
(you are looking at % changes, remember )
(the % difference between $28/share and $31.5/share is the exact same as $280/share and $315/share)

(What!! you are not graphing this daily? 4 data points for the indices and 8 more data points for the moving averages. 
It's __YOUR__ retirement money, 60 data points (12x5) per week, not a lot of work)

go to site below, put in ~ 1 year, copy paste data into excel sheet to get data.....train your eyes






From: "dbonivert@gmail.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Monday, April 24, 2017 2:12 PM
Subject: [TSP_Strategy] Who is selling in May?

 
With A few good days, including today, we might reach seasonal average gains. The typical fears and uncertainty are as scary as they have ever been; who is looking to "sell in May and go away"?


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Posted by: robert winfield <winfield100@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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