[TSP_Strategy] Odds of Positive Monthly C Fund Returns

 

Odds of Positive Monthly Returns in the S&P 500

Chart of the Week for December 16, 2016 - December 22, 2016

December is the month with the highest percentage of positive equity monthly returns at 75% and September is the lowest month with 44%. December 2016 is off to a good start as equities are up 3.31% for month through December 13th. For the quarter through December 13th, equites have returned 4.77%. Generally improving economic conditions and a positive reaction to the November election results have been two drivers of the recent strong equity performance. Interestingly, the average month has a 60% chance of earning a positive monthly return in equities.

Equities are represented by the Standard & Poor's 500 ("S&P 500"). The S&P 500 is an index consisting of 500 companies representing larger-capitalization stocks traded in the U.S. and is a benchmark commonly used to measure the performance of the U.S. stock market. The chart above shows the percentage of positive monthly returns in the S&P 500 by month since 1950 on a price return basis. The returns quoted herein are price return only.

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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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