[TSP_Strategy] Capital Markets Review

 

Charts of the Week

Capital Markets Review (As of 06/30/2018)

Chart of the Week for July 6, 2018 - July 12, 2018

Capital market returns were mixed in the second quarter of 2018 for the asset classes shown above. U.S. Bonds and foreign markets were negative, while U.S. equities and High Yield Bonds were positive. All asset classes had positive returns over the trailing 1-, 5-, and 10-year periods with the exception of the 1-year return on U.S. Bonds.

For the second quarter of 2018, U.S. markets outperformed global markets in U.S. dollar terms, as U.S. Small-Cap Stocks returned 7.75%, U.S. Large-Cap Stocks returned 3.43%, U.S. High Yield Bonds returned 1.03%, and U.S. Bonds returned -0.16%. International Developed Market Stocks fell -1.24% and Emerging Market Stocks dropped -7.96%. U.S. economic data was generally positive during the quarter, and the U.S. Federal Reserve Board raised the target rate range of the federal funds rate for the second time this year. U.S. Small-Cap Stocks led the way as they benefitted largely from lower corporate taxes and a relaxation of regulations.

The U.S. dollar rose during the quarter, which impacted foreign returns. Both International Developed Market Stocks and Emerging Market Stocks were negatively impacted by trade and tariff discussions involving the U.S. and several countries, but particularly China. Brazil, one of the largest Emerging Markets countries, fell over 26% due to labor unrest, lower economic growth, and inflation concerns.

In the chart above:

• U.S. Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index.
• U.S. High Yield Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Index.
• U.S. Large-Cap Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index.
• U.S. Small-Cap Stocks are represented by the Russell 2000 Index.
• International Developed Market Stocks are represented by the MSCI EAFE (Net) Index.
• Emerging Market Stocks are represented by the MSCI Emerging Markets (Net) Index.

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Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com

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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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