Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Greenspan's warning about bond bubble

 

Exactly, same way the subject was referencing an article.  It's all opinion.  If more bulls are out there the prices will go up.  Just trying to make the point that if everyone is saying the same thing but the opposite is happening, then don't take those statements to heart.  

It's more of following trends and momentum, current the momentum is up.  And tomorrow the momentum can turn the opposite direction due to sediment of the markets or an binary event.  

Like you said, it's your retirement, so keep an eye on the markets.  

On Aug 5, 2017, at 4:58 AM, robert winfield winfield100@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

you referenced a Seeking Alpha article. I have been reading them for probably 7 years.

If you use a jaundiced eye to evaluate, they seem to want eyeballs and clicks to pay pennies per view to the authors from the multiple advertisers.

The articles from my investing searching for good advice since the very early 1980's posted there are usually the equivalent of a kindergarten food fight with "you are dumb, no you are dumber"

If you choose to follow their advice, be prepared to lose 100% or if they get you into options be prepared to lose 1,000% of your equity as many advise using very complex options, to get returning eyeballs

This following is true.

 I follow a stock Tesla, symbol TSLA. since 2012

The shorts were short 35 million shares on 11/30/2016 when the stock was $179/share, a bit over $6 billion they got.

They had "sold low and were hoping to buy lower"

instead they sold low and are being forced to buy higher"

The shorts LOST $1 billion dollars on Thursday and friday.

They have bought back 20% of the shares they "sold low and are buying high

As of today the shorts, after buying back 20% of the shares, still owe ANOTHER $10 Billion, counting the $1 Billion they lost in 2 days

For the fraction over $6 billion they got selling it, they bought back 20% at higher prices, still owing $10 billion more (a tiny fraction will be paid to me by them :)  :)  )

overall they lost at least 50%, some losing 100+% some less, but almost all lost in aggregate

Seeking Alpha seems to run a preponderance of articles advising the unwary to short stocks i follow, and still advises shorting Tesla.

You may believe them if you wish, but i definately don't. there are only a few authors I follow and they rarely publish, for the equities I follow and are dispassionate mostly

If you read an article, completely disregard it if the author has no position, if the author is short the equity, discount 90% of the article unless they have extremely clear verifiable reasons

you may find different, but extreme caution is advised.

PLEASE it's you retirement for when all other checks stop coming

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From: "romansmr2@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, August 4, 2017 11:12 AM
Subject: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Greenspan's warning about bond bubble

 

Question is, do you think Greenspan is reliable? Or just maketing himself to sell his books.

How Concerning Are Predictions Of A Stock Market Crash?

http://www.seekingalpha.com/article/4080887

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Posted by: romansmr2@yahoo.com

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