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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Contrarian Sell Signal

 

Sarah, 
Thanks for the reminder.
As I will be very busy emptying a house and probably selling the house to be recycled by a professional firm, and disposing of the land, i will be quite busy
My personal thoughts are as follows, im looking at the ~54 - 56 trading days, 8/10 - 10/31 (halloween) as arbitrary dates
My crystal ball is cloudy at present, but i'm a bit nervous about the next 2.5 months.
2016
Fund Returns (Chart Range: Aug 10, 2016 - Oct 31, 2016)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
-1.46%-1.26%-1.04%-0.60%--0.13%+0.35%-0.85%-1.86%-2.13%-1.42%


2015
Fund Returns (Chart Range: Aug 10, 2015 - Oct 30, 2015)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
-2.53%-2.08%-1.67%-1.18%--0.03%+0.47%+0.85%-0.70%-4.87%-6.04%

2014
Fund Returns (Chart Range: Aug 11, 2014 - Oct 31, 2014)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
+1.85%+1.79%+1.62%+1.38%-+0.96%+0.51%+1.01%+4.64%+2.41%-2.55%

2013
Fund Returns (Chart Range: Aug 12, 2013 - Oct 31, 2013)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
+4.84%+4.33%+3.84%+3.15%-+1.51%+0.50%+1.33%+4.43%+5.13%+7.18%
2012
Fund Returns (Chart Range: Aug 10, 2012 - Oct 31, 2012)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
+1.95%+1.75%+1.56%+1.32%-+0.66%+0.29%+0.80%+0.87%+2.44%+3.90%


That said, i expect the present trend to continue, and if I bail it will be first to the L2050 because they can rebalance daily and then G, maybe ,maybe
I seriously welcome criticism as to how and why i am wrong.

Fund Returns (Chart Range: May 23, 2017 - Aug 09, 2017)
L 2050L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L IncomeG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
+2.64%+2.41%+2.13%+1.53%-+1.04%+0.48%+1.12%+3.55%+1.99%+2.76%


From: "sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy]" <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com>
To: TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Thursday, August 10, 2017 12:49 PM
Subject: Re: [TSP_Strategy] Contrarian Sell Signal

 
Mid August to Mid October is usually the bearish season for the markets.  We'll see HOW bearish this one is....


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Posted by: robert winfield <winfield100@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

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