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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

I am on the same boat.. a total novice .. where should we move?

FWIW, I'll sit. 

Markets remain bullish.

S is hit harder than C on downturns and should move up more on upturns. 

So, I'm remaining in S unless I see otherwise. 

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Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com
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Andriansyah / Tulis Komentar / Baca Selengkapnya »
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

I am on the same boat.. a total novice .. where should we move?

On Tuesday, June 4, 2019, 2:50:41 PM EDT, Ben Alexander zbenj56@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:


 

For us novices, does that mean we should put a larger percentage in the S & C, or go to G?

Ben


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On Tuesday, June 4, 2019, 2:34 PM, sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

I am expecting the next Fed moves to be toward cutting short term rates and maybe even stopping quantitative tightening altogether.

You're prophetic, Tex! 
Fed is considering lowering rates!

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Posted by: william ferrer <williesnake@yahoo.com>
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Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

For us novices, does that mean we should put a larger percentage in the S & C, or go to G?Ben

Hi Ben,

All it really does is explain today's rally.

With respect to your allocations...the market continues to be long term bullish.  What it WILL do remains to be seen.

Understand that markets don't move on news but on the interpretation of news.

While lower interest rates, with everything else remaining constant, is a bullish, if it was believed that rates were to be lowered because the economy is going down the tubes, it would be a bearish signal.

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Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com
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Andriansyah / Tulis Komentar / Baca Selengkapnya »
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

For us novices, does that mean we should put a larger percentage in the S & C, or go to G?

Ben


Sent from Yahoo Mail for iPhone

On Tuesday, June 4, 2019, 2:34 PM, sarah_oz@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

I am expecting the next Fed moves to be toward cutting short term rates and maybe even stopping quantitative tightening altogether.

You're prophetic, Tex! 
Fed is considering lowering rates!

__._,_.___
Posted by: Ben Alexander <zbenj56@yahoo.com>
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Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Andriansyah / Tulis Komentar / Baca Selengkapnya »
[TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

[TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

I am expecting the next Fed moves to be toward cutting short term rates and maybe even stopping quantitative tightening altogether.

You're prophetic, Tex! 
Fed is considering lowering rates!

__._,_.___
Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (6)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Andriansyah / Tulis Komentar / Baca Selengkapnya »
[TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

[TSP_Strategy] Re: Yield Curve??

 

I actually have it starting in July 2006; however, we might be using somewhat different definitions or sources.

Nevertheless, this week the inversion between 3 month and 10 year rates seems more definite. I do not think that it will be significant unless the inversion becomes more pronounced and lasts for a while.

While my version of the Zweig model has been on a sell signal for several months, I am expecting the next Fed moves to be toward cutting short term rates and maybe even stopping quantitative tightening altogether. In addition, a symbolic agreement with China and possible abandonment of tariffs on Mexican goods would probably change the stock market trend to positive very quickly.

If the Dow retested the December low and my trend indicators reached similar extreme negative values, I would very likely go all in on stocks with my TSP, which is currently parked in G.

Regards,
Tex

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Posted by: mrweyl@hotmail.com
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