Leaders Workshop

Soft Skills Development & Training

Blog Archive

Powered by Blogger.
[TSP_Strategy] Re: Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

[TSP_Strategy] Re: Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

 

Please consider that your retirement may not be the end of your life, but the beginning of a long "golden age". You may retire at age 60 and live until 90, that's thirty years of investing.

Medical advances are enabling people to live longer and longer. Many retirees will continuing drawing funds until they are 100 years old. If a person quits work in their 60's, the TSP funds will continue to grow for another 30 to 40 years.

Maybe you should be asking "what is the best investment for the next 35 years?"

__._,_.___

Posted by: haywoodkb@yahoo.com
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (9)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

 

Even if the market happens to be down when you retire, most people only draw out 3 to 6 percent a year.  Since most people
will get checks for around 30 years, there is plenty of time for the money to grow.  You only lose in the stock funds if you sell at a
lower price and the market has always went up long term so far.

__._,_.___

Posted by: del brett <bretdelman@msn.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (8)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
[TSP_Strategy] ISM Manufacturing Index

[TSP_Strategy] ISM Manufacturing Index

 


ISM Manufacturing Index

Chart of the Week for June 7, 2019 - June 13, 2019

U.S. Manufacturing was still expanding but was below expectations for May 2019.

The Institute for Supply Management publishes a monthly index of manufacturing activity in the U.S. The index is based on surveys of 400 purchasing managers nationwide regarding manufacturing in 20 industries and an index value above 50 indicates the economy is expanding. The chart above shows the index value over the past year.

While still in the expansion range, the May 2019 index value of 52.1 was below consensus expectations and was the lowest value for the past year. The May 2019 report showed an increase in new orders, but declines in production, inventories, supplier deliveries, and backlog orders. Numerous respondents commented that the current tariffs weighed on manufacturing sentiment. Economists noted that the current 10% tariff structure with China was manageable for businesses, but if 25% tariffs with China or Mexico become reality then global supply chains, business confidence, and the U.S. economy maybe impacted.

__._,_.___

Posted by: sarah_oz@yahoo.com
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (2)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

 

It depends on so many factors. Do you have other retirement income to fall back on, such as an active duty pension and/or VA? Are you happy with the amount you have in your TSP? 

The general advice I've seen is to move 30% to G to maintain your nest egg. It's easy for me to say since I'm a good 15 years out from retirement but I don't see myself ever moving from my current 50/50 C/S, even while in retirment. Those who are invested as such have been taking 4% withdrawal and their account balances are still increasing. Sure there is risk to it but when has the market ever not rebounded? It always has. Even with the numerous dips over the years including the horrendous 2008/2009 one, the average return is 7%. 

I wouldn't do the L Funds. If you do want to move 30% (or whatever your comfortable % might be), just set it up yourself through interfund transfer and leave it alone (such as 35% C, 35% S, 30% G). I don't like the L Funds because they are invested too much in F and I, and not enough in S. Also as time goes on, you'll have way too much in G and F. For example, the current L Income is invested over 79% into G and F. That's how the current L2050 will look in 2050. That's way too much for me. You can view this link to see how the L funds are comprised. https://www.tsp.gov/InvestmentFunds/FundOptions/fundPerformance_LIncome.html . That's a direct link to L Income but there are tabs to view the other L funds. 

Mike


On Fri, Jun 7, 2019 at 11:36 AM daniel thompson danbev6462@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:
 

Bill - you may consider LifeCycle, those funds allocate based on age/retirement date and then adjust funds to a risk that's lower as you near retirement. Dan 

Sent from my iPhone

On Jun 7, 2019, at 9:09 AM, bill_steele_sr@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Let me qualify my question by saying that I understand the disclaimer about this not being a place where advise is given in a licensed fiduciary manner- so I'm looking for Casual opinions and will not bear any ill will if I follow suggestions that turn out to be less than profitable.

With that said. I'm 5 years away from retirement. Should I keep going with this group's recommendations- currently "S" or should I move my money and park it in safer waters. The groups has a good track record, while the managed funds are not so good. If I stay with the group for 5 years and do well- and then the market tanks in 4 years, am I likely to earn enough for the loss to offset the dismal returns I'd get if I parked it in an L Fund?

I'm not versed in talking about this stuff so I hope my question makes sense. Bottom line- Where to put my money with 5 years to go. I'm also considering increasing my contribution from 10% to 15% for the final 5 years..   


__._,_.___

Posted by: Mike VanAmburgh <mjv325@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (7)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

 


First, if you haven't yet, you really should take the retirement training offered by your agency.  I found it very helpful and ours was partially taught by a professional financial advisor.

You need to understand your post retirement financial goals and then, invest accordingly. Also keep in mind, you are likely be retired for a long time, while a very conservative approach on your investments may feel safer, unless you can live with ~2% of growth per year, sticking most of your money in G (or the L Lifetime fund) probably won't work and may not even keep up with inflation.

I'm 1.5 years from retirement.  My wife and I've discussed financial goals at length.   I've taken the retirement training, I've talked to a couple financial advisors, paid off all our debt, and I've done the math.   We figured we need to average ~3% per year to minimally meet our goals.  I've been investing the maximum for several years (and really wished I'd had started doing that much earlier in life), including Catchup since the year I turned 50.  I'd feel better (more breathing room for emergencies, tax increases, and politicians messing with our pensions) if I was making 4-5% per year in interest and plan to invest accordingly.  If I needed more than that, I'd probably working.

Rob G.

---In TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com, <danroszkowski@...> wrote :

Have to worry about sequence risk as one approaches retirement age. 

On Jun 7, 2019, at 12:27 PM, daniel thompson danbev6462@... [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Bill - you may consider LifeCycle, those funds allocate based on age/retirement date and then adjust funds to a risk that's lower as you near retirement. Dan 

Sent from my iPhone

On Jun 7, 2019, at 9:09 AM, bill_steele_sr@... [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Let me qualify my question by saying that I understand the disclaimer about this not being a place where advise is given in a licensed fiduciary manner- so I'm looking for Casual opinions and will not bear any ill will if I follow suggestions that turn out to be less than profitable.

With that said. I'm 5 years away from retirement. Should I keep going with this group's recommendations- currently "S" or should I move my money and park it in safer waters. The groups has a good track record, while the managed funds are not so good. If I stay with the group for 5 years and do well- and then the market tanks in 4 years, am I likely to earn enough for the loss to offset the dismal returns I'd get if I parked it in an L Fund?

I'm not versed in talking about this stuff so I hope my question makes sense. Bottom line- Where to put my money with 5 years to go. I'm also considering increasing my contribution from 10% to 15% for the final 5 years.   


__._,_.___

Posted by: krobglenn@yahoo.com
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (6)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___
Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

Re: [TSP_Strategy] Nearing Retirement- want to reduce risk

 

Have to worry about sequence risk as one approaches retirement age. 

On Jun 7, 2019, at 12:27 PM, daniel thompson danbev6462@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Bill - you may consider LifeCycle, those funds allocate based on age/retirement date and then adjust funds to a risk that's lower as you near retirement. Dan 

Sent from my iPhone

On Jun 7, 2019, at 9:09 AM, bill_steele_sr@yahoo.com [TSP_Strategy] <TSP_Strategy@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

Let me qualify my question by saying that I understand the disclaimer about this not being a place where advise is given in a licensed fiduciary manner- so I'm looking for Casual opinions and will not bear any ill will if I follow suggestions that turn out to be less than profitable.

With that said. I'm 5 years away from retirement. Should I keep going with this group's recommendations- currently "S" or should I move my money and park it in safer waters. The groups has a good track record, while the managed funds are not so good. If I stay with the group for 5 years and do well- and then the market tanks in 4 years, am I likely to earn enough for the loss to offset the dismal returns I'd get if I parked it in an L Fund?

I'm not versed in talking about this stuff so I hope my question makes sense. Bottom line- Where to put my money with 5 years to go. I'm also considering increasing my contribution from 10% to 15% for the final 5 years.   


__._,_.___

Posted by: Dan Roszkowski <danroszkowski@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (5)
Neither the TSP Strategy group, nor individual members, are licensed or authorized to provide investment advice. Any statements made herein merely reflect the personal opinions of the individual group member. Please make your own investment decisions based upon your personal circumstances.

SPONSORED LINKS
.

__,_._,___