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Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

S fund  DWCPF
 last 18 months
Inline image
2021 so far
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since mid April (~5.5 months)

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last 6 weeks
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As I drill down, the linear regression line is pointing/sloping _upwards_ mostly
to me it looks pretty flat February, but these are pictures of what has been, not what will come in the future

I was out of S fund for perhaps a week at beginning of year, but since then i'm 100%

you do what you will
(the data is free to download from the TSP site, in Excel. I use slope functions and have +/- 2SD envelop as 66% is contained in the envelop (Bollinger bands))
from years of observations, note the data like to "Hug" either the top or bottom SD band most of the time
cheers

On Saturday, August 28, 2021, 11:08:39 AM EDT, Scott N <scottnieto@gmail.com> wrote:


Group is still G
Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Group is still G
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Is this correct?  I thought it was still 100 g


On Aug 27, 2021, at 9:23 AM, scsi_guru via groups.io <scsi_guru=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

70% C, 30% S
Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

70% C, 30% S
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Got it.


Sent from Yahoo Mail for iPad

On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 1:21 PM, Dave Earsing <david.earsing@hotmail.com> wrote:

50 % C and 50% - S in the beginning of the year.

 

 

From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> On Behalf Of winfield100 via groups.io
Sent: Thursday, August 26, 2021 1:04 PM
To: tspstrategy@groups.io; TSPStrategy@groups.io
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

 

18.5 months of S Fund

Inline image

 

On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 11:55:07 AM EDT, Dave F <pgfree33@gmail.com> wrote:

 

 

For those still 'trying' to retire, which I am also one of, I hope you're out or only Partially in G. 
I've stayed 100% S since early last year and rode every bump along they way. Don't know if that was really smart or really foolish, but that's what I did and am still doing.

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

50 % C and 50% - S in the beginning of the year.

 

 

From: TSPStrategy@groups.io <TSPStrategy@groups.io> On Behalf Of winfield100 via groups.io
Sent: Thursday, August 26, 2021 1:04 PM
To: tspstrategy@groups.io; TSPStrategy@groups.io
Subject: Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

 

18.5 months of S Fund

 

On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 11:55:07 AM EDT, Dave F <pgfree33@gmail.com> wrote:

 

 

For those still 'trying' to retire, which I am also one of, I hope you're out or only Partially in G. 
I've stayed 100% S since early last year and rode every bump along they way. Don't know if that was really smart or really foolish, but that's what I did and am still doing.

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

18.5 months of S Fund
Inline image


On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 11:55:07 AM EDT, Dave F <pgfree33@gmail.com> wrote:


For those still 'trying' to retire, which I am also one of, I hope you're out or only Partially in G. 
I've stayed 100% S since early last year and rode every bump along they way. Don't know if that was really smart or really foolish, but that's what I did and am still doing.

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Last 12 months of S Fund
note: it's been pretty flat since late january/early Feb
(I went 100% back in in very early january)
I have no idea what's going to happen
Inline image


Last 3 months of S Fund
Inline image


On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 11:24:23 AM EDT, Jeff <jeffday777@gmail.com> wrote:


Hi All,

In the 'files' section it says the allocation of 100% G Fund of 12/30/2020 is still current - is that correct?

Thanks,

Jeff
Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

For those still ‘trying’ to retire, which I am also one of, I hope you’re out or only Partially in G. 
I’ve stayed 100% S since early last year and rode every bump along they way. Don’t know if that was really smart or really foolish, but that’s what I did and am still doing.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

I don't think anything has changed (still G).  None of us have crystal balls so to speak, but I do wish I would have jumped back in back in say March.  I finally did.  I think people who stayed in (and never got out) will be fine even if things start going south...they've gained so much (and they could still jump out).  But if a big drop comes soon and is big enough, people who jump back in may make out well.

It's interesting that may top investors will say no one can really "time the market"...even guys like Warren Buffett.  I have to ask my self...am I really smarter than him?  What he does is look for undervalued companies from what I understand, not time the market.  

I am surprised the market has continue this long without some sort of big drop though...the housing "bubble", the rising stock market, etc.  It's hard to imagine we can keep going also in light of all the spending we're doing.  Who knows. 

I will say Sarah has been an amazing help over the years and has offered years of advice...I really appreciate all her hard work.  People who give her a hard time about anything related to the site crack me up...I'm like "hey, it's free, you can take her advice or leave it".  
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Re: [TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

I think its correct. Though I decided to go $80% C, 10% S, and 10% G. 
Curious what others have done!

On Thursday, August 26, 2021, 11:24:23 AM EDT, Jeff <jeffday777@gmail.com> wrote:


Hi All,

In the 'files' section it says the allocation of 100% G Fund of 12/30/2020 is still current - is that correct?

Thanks,

Jeff
[TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

[TSPStrategy] Current allocation still 100% G Fund?

Hi All,

In the 'files' section it says the allocation of 100% G Fund of 12/30/2020 is still current - is that correct?

Thanks,

Jeff
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

John,
Can you please give a source for this information?

I'm a dependent of Tricare and very interested in this topic.  

Thank you!
Tracy


On Aug 19, 2021, at 21:32, JOHN N <jw.nelson64@gmail.com> wrote:


FYI if you have Tricare, it counts for your 5 year obligation. 

On Sun, Aug 8, 2021, 11:59 AM <jdinvesting@kh11.net> wrote:
Concur with Bill

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

FYI if you have Tricare, it counts for your 5 year obligation. 

On Sun, Aug 8, 2021, 11:59 AM <jdinvesting@kh11.net> wrote:
Concur with Bill

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Re: [TSPStrategy] Time to Get Your Benefits

Re: [TSPStrategy] Time to Get Your Benefits

Other than the SF 2818 and the marriage certificate, looks like the problems are in the agency admin section.
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[TSPStrategy] Time to Get Your Benefits

[TSPStrategy] Time to Get Your Benefits

Why Does it Take So Long to Get Your Benefits?

August 12, 2021

You’ve done everything right. You set your retirement date well in advance of your last day on the job. You received a final retirement estimate, completed your retirement application documents and turned them in a full 90 days before the date you set to leave. 

If you did everything right, why does it still take so long to process your retirement benefit claim? Unfortunately, retirement processing is a tedious process. It starts with you, the retiring employee. You must accurately complete a retirement application that may appear to be simple, but can be deceptively complicated. Then your agency’s human resources office has to review the information you provide and compile the personnel documents to accompany your retirement application. 

Your agency’s payroll provider also has an important role to play. During the pandemic some payroll providers experienced delays in submitting retirement packages to the Office of Personnel Management due to system processing changes and staffing challenges related to the Covid-19 pandemic. It normally should take the agency’s payroll provider about 30 days to send completed retirement paperwork to OPM for processing once your final salary payment is paid and your lump sum annual leave payment has been disbursed.

But according to Rep. Gerald Connolly, chairman of the Subcommittee on Government Operations, one major payroll office said it was taking anywhere from 60 to 90 days recently to process and submit retirement paperwork to OPM. 

Once your retirement application arrives at OPM, there is more work to do. Some claims can be complicated by unpaid service credit deposits; court orders dividing retirement benefits and survivor benefits with a former spouse; provisions involving special employee groups such as law enforcement officers, firefighters and air traffic controllers; and other factors.

If all goes well, the entire process can take 60 to120 days from the day you pack up your office until your first regular retirement payment arrives at your bank. And that’s assuming there aren’t any mistakes in the paperwork. 

OPM recently conducted an analysis of the most common errors recorded in the past three years. They included:

  • On Federal Employees Retirement System applications, 8.6% of form SF 2821 (Agency Certification of Insurance Status for Federal Employees Group Life Insurance) were not signed by a certifying human resources official,  and 12.7% were not signed by a certifying payroll official.
  • More than 6%  SF 2818 (Continuation of Life Insurance Coverage) forms were not signed.
  • More than 6% of retirement packages failed to fully document whether an employee met the five-year coverage requirement to continue Federal Employee Health Benefits coverage into retirement. Often, the problem is that the documentation of electronic enrollment changes reflects a new plan and effective date, but not an old plan. 
  • 3.76% of FERS applications were missing a copy of a necessary marriage certificate. 
  • About 3% of SF 3107-1 (Certified Summary of Federal Service), forms, which are part of the FERS retirement application that is completed by the personnel office, were not signed. 

This may not sound like much, but in July, OPM received 8,922 new retirement claims for processing. If 3% of those applications had an error and had to be put on hold awaiting a correction, that would have affected 276 applications that month alone. 

To avoid unnecessary delays in getting your retirement benefits, be careful about filling out your paperwork—and hope that HR officials at your agency do the same.


August 12, 2021

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2021/08/why-does-it-take-so-long-get-your-benefits/184478/

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Re: [TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

Re: [TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

I'd prefer they establish a separate US-based ESG fund and whoever wants to invest in it, go ahead. But check out any family of funds and check the portfolio of a US-ESG fund and compare it to their S&P 500 fund - the top 10 holdings are going to be the same, mainly tech stocks (FAANG, Tesla, NVIDIA), JPMorgan, and a health stock.

What they should work on to allow to happen already is in-plan conversions.


On 8/11/21 at 4:35 PM, Bill Steele Sr. via groups.io wrote:

From: "Bill Steele Sr. via groups.io" <bill_steele_sr=yahoo.com@groups.io>
Date: August 11, 2021
To: TSPStrategy@groups.io
Cc:
Subject: [TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

https://news.yahoo.com/lawmakers-seek-political-ends-using-093010381.html

Re: [TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

Re: [TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

😞


On Aug 11, 2021, at 4:35 PM, Bill Steele Sr. via groups.io <bill_steele_sr=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:

https://news.yahoo.com/lawmakers-seek-political-ends-using-093010381.html
[TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

[TSPStrategy] Congress' half-trillion dollar weapon: The battle over the massive Thrift Savings Plan

https://news.yahoo.com/lawmakers-seek-political-ends-using-093010381.html
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Concur with Bill
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

It doesn't matter when you get married. Just that the employee was covered the last 5 years 

On Sat, Aug 7, 2021, 9:40 AM Diane Sullivan <dianeseery3@gmail.com> wrote:
My friend is eligible to retire but she is postponing for five years to ensure that her husband gets the health benefits. She just married him recently.

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Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

My friend is eligible to retire but she is postponing for five years to ensure that her husband gets the health benefits. She just married him recently.
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Thank you. 


On Thursday, August 5, 2021, 4:48:27 PM EDT, Bill Holzworth <holzworth.bill@gmail.com> wrote:


No. You must have health insurance 5 years before retirement to have health insurance upon retirement.

On Thu, Aug 5, 2021, 3:41 PM bill_steele_sr via groups.io <bill_steele_sr=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Just read an article about Federal Retirement and I don't understand the following

///////////////////
The rule is that an employee must retire under an immediate retirement (one that begins within 30 days after separation) or leave on a "postponed" retirement under the Minimum Retirement Age "MRA +10" or "MRA +20" provisions of FERS. In addition, the employee must be covered by FEHB under his or her own enrollment, or as a family member under a family's (such as a spouse) FEHB enrollment, for the five years of service immediately preceding retirement or since the retiring employee's first opportunity to enroll in FEHB.
///////////////////

Sooo many words. Is this telling me I have to be married for 5 years for my wife to be included in my post-retirement Health Insurance?

Thanks
Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Re: [TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

No. You must have health insurance 5 years before retirement to have health insurance upon retirement.

On Thu, Aug 5, 2021, 3:41 PM bill_steele_sr via groups.io <bill_steele_sr=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Just read an article about Federal Retirement and I don't understand the following

///////////////////
The rule is that an employee must retire under an immediate retirement (one that begins within 30 days after separation) or leave on a "postponed" retirement under the Minimum Retirement Age "MRA +10" or "MRA +20" provisions of FERS. In addition, the employee must be covered by FEHB under his or her own enrollment, or as a family member under a family's (such as a spouse) FEHB enrollment, for the five years of service immediately preceding retirement or since the retiring employee's first opportunity to enroll in FEHB.
///////////////////

Sooo many words. Is this telling me I have to be married for 5 years for my wife to be included in my post-retirement Health Insurance?

Thanks

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[TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

[TSPStrategy] Off Topic: Retirement and Health Insurance

Just read an article about Federal Retirement and I don't understand the following

///////////////////
The rule is that an employee must retire under an immediate retirement (one that begins within 30 days after separation) or leave on a “postponed” retirement under the Minimum Retirement Age “MRA +10” or “MRA +20” provisions of FERS. In addition, the employee must be covered by FEHB under his or her own enrollment, or as a family member under a family’s (such as a spouse) FEHB enrollment, for the five years of service immediately preceding retirement or since the retiring employee’s first opportunity to enroll in FEHB.
///////////////////

Sooo many words. Is this telling me I have to be married for 5 years for my wife to be included in my post-retirement Health Insurance?

Thanks
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Re: [TSPStrategy] Matching

Re: [TSPStrategy] Matching

Time to find a new financial planner who does better research!


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