You called it Sarah..looks like we are beginning our bear market surge. Would love to see S fund get back to 1000.
Posted by: scsi_guru@yahoo.com
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Soft Skills Development & Training
You called it Sarah..looks like we are beginning our bear market surge. Would love to see S fund get back to 1000.
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Over the past 10 trading days,
S fund is up 6.6%
C fund is up 3.9%
I fund is up 1.6%
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Index&symb=dwcpf&x=31&y=11&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=8%2F23%2F2011&freq=9&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=spx+efa&comp=spx+efa&ma=0&maval=50+200&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=3&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=15
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DWCPF is currently at ~930. It was there last on 12 Jan 2016 just before plunging through the 925 support level the next day on its way down another 9%. The last time is was at 930 and rising before that was 11 Oct 2013.
If you're holding S Fund, do you wish you would you have gotten out on 12 Jan 2016, or plan to exit to G or F today even though it is down ~18.5% from last year's peak? Similarly, would have you bought S or C on 11 Oct 2013, or plan to hold it today hoping it will rise as much as it has in the past?
Jim
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So who's the $4.6 million fed???
By Mike Causey | @mcauseyWFED
February 27, 2016 1:00 am
So who's the fattest cat in the federal Thrift Savings Plan? Does the fed with the $4.6 million account sit in the next cubicle? Or is he/she maybe a member of your car pool? Short answer: Probably not. Almost certainly not. But he/she is out there. Along with a growing number of TSP millionaires.
As of last January the TSP, Uncle Sam's in-house 401k plan, had 3,272 people with accounts of $1 million or more. ONE MILLION DOLLARS!!!!
Some members of the Million Dollar Club came into government with lots of money. They are often political appointees or very successful lawyers appointed as federal judges. They transferred savings from company or corporate 401k funds into the TSP, often because they appreciated its lowest-in-the-business administrative fees. These are people who know how to make, and keep, money. But a substantial number of the millionaires did it the old-fashioned way. They invested in stock index funds, smiling when the market was up but continuing to buy stocks when the markets were down, and shares were on sale. Investing regularly, without getting emotional, and the value of compounding made them millionaires. The typical TSP millionaire has been investing for just over 28 years.
The 5 percent matching contributions that FERS employees can get from the government helped boost their TSP balances dramatically. Like so:
There are 18,846 TSP participants who have account balances of between $750,000 and $999,000 as of Jan. 2016. On average they've been investing for 28 years, like the millionaires they aspire to be.
More than 90,000 feds (92,092 to be precise) have account balances of between half a million and $749,000. Average time in the TSP: 27 years.
The number of participants with account balances from $250,000 to $499,000 is an impressive 371,209 participants who've been in the federal 401k plan an average of 24 years.
Another 1.4 million people have accounts ranging from $50,001 to $249,000, with an average time of 19 years in the plan.
As impressive as the millionaires club is, the overall smarts of TSP investors is equally impressive. As of last count there were 2,810,398 participants who have accounts worth up to $50,000. On average they've been participating for 9 years.
So what's in your TSP portfolio?
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One of Martin Zweig's minor indicators of strength in the market was the advance/decline ratio over a 10-day (2-week) period. Based on my own definition of the indicator, the latest ratio (Friday, Feb. 26) was almost exactly 3/1. I do not remember seeing a value this high over the last ten years of tracking it (and probably much longer). This supposedly indicates significant upward momentum in the stock market.
My technical indicators are still in bearish territory and I consider the A/D indicator to be less exciting than did Zweig. So I am just reporting it as an indication that stocks might continue upward, at least in the near term. If so, this would give investors a chance to rebalance portfolios toward their target asset allocations between stocks and fixed income.
The main Zweig model is neutral and I do not see how that will improve over the next several months.
Good luck,
Tex
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Ms Sarah, when I missed the last change and stayed in C, would you stay put or move to S?Hubby has been in ICU for the past week and haven't even looked at a newspaper (which is sometimes less stressful).Many thanks in your guidance over the past couple years! I wouldn't have this balance doing it alone!
Stay put.
I hope your husband feels better very soon.
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