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[TSPStrategy] How Social Security became less generous

[TSPStrategy] How Social Security became less generous

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2023/06/how-social-security-became-less-generous/387814/

How Social Security became less generous

And why the trend might continue in the years ahead. 

Social Security benefits have been a key element of federal employees' overall retirement package since the creation of the Federal Employees Retirement System in 1986. Along with the basic federal retirement benefit and employees' own savings and investments in the Thrift Savings Plan, they make up the range of income sources available to federal workers as they contemplate retirement.

But Social Security is not cast in stone. Benefits and the regulations that implement them are subject to change by Congress at any time. And in recent years they've changed in the direction of becoming less generous in terms of replacement of wages earned while working.

Social Security benefits are based on the indexed average of the highest 35 years of wages on which an employee has paid the Social Security tax (known as FICA). The benefit formula is structured in such a way that it provides a greater replacement of pre-retirement wages for lower earners and lesser replacement for high earners. 

Social Security benefits are payable as early as age 62. But the amount is permanently reduced by 30% of the full benefit for those born in 1960 or later. For example, a worker retiring at 65 in 2023 with past average earnings of $105,835 would receive a benefit amount of $32,345. The amount is 30% lower if they file at age 62. 

In 2023, the average Social Security benefit was $1,782 per month, or $21,384 per year. For someone who worked all of their adult life at average earnings ($66,147 per year) and retired at age 65 in 2022, Social Security benefits replace about 37% of past earnings ($24,463). But that replacement rate has fallen as the program's full retirement age gradually rose from 65 in 2000 to 67 in 2022.

This shift from the simple and hands-off model of the single-benefit Civil Service Retirement System has been accompanied by a decline in Social Security benefits relative to pre-retirement earnings. The amendments to Social Security enacted in 1983 that increased the retirement age means benefits payable at 62 (for those born in 1960 or later) are now only worth 70% of the full benefit, compared with 80% when the full retirement age was 65 (for those born in 1937 and earlier). 

The 1983 amendments were enacted in an effort to permanently solve the problem of funding the Social Security trust fund, known as Old Age and Survivors Disability Insurance. But that didn't happen. And according to Social Security's chief actuary, lawmakers face further choices in addressing the OASDI shortfall in the coming years. 

The choices include raising scheduled revenue by 2034 by about one-third, reducing scheduled benefits over the same time period by about one-fourth, or some combination of the two. That is going to leave members of Congress with some very difficult decisions to make.

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[TSPStrategy] The GOP wants to bring back pay for performance, but a leading expert says it’ll never work

[TSPStrategy] The GOP wants to bring back pay for performance, but a leading expert says it’ll never work

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2023/06/gop-wants-bring-back-pay-performance-leading-expert-says-itll-never-work/387740/

The GOP wants to bring back pay for performance, but a leading expert says it'll never work

Past pay-for-performance efforts have done "double duty as a kind of way to diminish the unions, go after the rank and file, and that was clear," a researcher says.

Last week, a group of over 150 House Republicans proposed, in outline form, restructuring federal employee pay and benefits. Among their plan's elements are echoes of failed and abandoned incentive programs launched under both the G.W. Bush and Trump administrations—notably, governmentwide pay-for-performance incentives for federal employees.

"Automatic raises should be eliminated," the GOP document states, later pressing that "Congress should repeal current law restrictions that prohibit basing bonus decisions on the relative performance of an employee compared to their peers."

In the last effort, scuttled with the failure of President Trump to win a second term, the aim was to gut the General Schedule and replace much of it over time with at-will employees under a new "Schedule F," complemented by a pay-for-performance system financed by selectively stripping the General Schedule of step pay increases to the tune of $10 billion over a decade.

The incoming Biden White House and Democratic Congress put a quick stop to these aims. But to proponents, it makes sense to offer additional financial incentives for higher-performing employees, as is common in the private sector. To detractors—the winners on the ground of the argument, to date—such schemes have been rightly bound to fail, largely due to fundamental differences in government's aims and functions compared with those of private sector businesses.

To dig in deeper on the news of a renewed push, Government Executive this week interviewed a top researcher on performance pay, James L. Perry. Perry is professor emeritus of public administration at the University of Indiana and a recognized expert on civil service reform. A 2009 piece, a 2019 piece and a new article he co-authored criticize public sector pay for performance, claiming to identify other factors more powerful—and more appropriate—to incentivizing public employees.

In these and his most recent book Managing Organizations to Maintain Passion for Public Service, Perry highlights that public sector employees work for organizations that don't aim for—and can't achieve—higher profits each year, but rather for public missions whose funding is generally not suited for such incentives. Performance bonuses, when tried widescale in government, run into problems. Indeed, such efforts so far have failed.  

Excerpts from the interview with Perry follow:

GE: What's your opinion of a House GOP yet again intent on pursuing a far-reaching pay-for-performance plan across the federal government?

Perry: We—meaning our government, political leaders at different times—have tried repeatedly to do this kind of thing and failed to get it right every time. You can go back to my and my co-authors' 2009 article, "Back to the Future," for detail on how several efforts went wrong. But a big part of these failures is simply that the institutions of government—its financial functions and institutional rules—are just incompatible with pay for performance for employees. I mean, after all, it is an idea that people derived from the private sector, and then tried grafting onto government.

GE: When would you mark pay for performance's beginnings, at least in recent decades?

Perry: Congress and President Carter instituted some aspects of it, as part of the Civil Service Reform Act of 1978.

GE: Can you say why so many pay-for-performance plans have come and gone? Opponents, public sector unions especially, say no matter the rhetoric, in the real world these plans turn into spoils and favoritism, rather than rewards for top-flight work, right?

Perry: Yes. Look—and I write about this in my book, about rewarding and incentivizing employees. Research shows several better ways than pay for performance and how they have been tried in practice. We know what doesn't work. Almost right away after pay for performance kicked off four decades ago, the public was aghast at news stories of multi thousand-dollar bonuses for some feds.

This is one important way performance pay for public servants is almost bound to fail, compared to the private sector: the critical eye of tax-paying citizens footing the bill. On the other side, in the minds and motivations of public employees, better serving citizens is just not something we can, practically speaking, be trying to incentivize with monetary bonuses. Besides, the segment of public servants where performance pay might work—those whose tasks are easier to measure fairly—are generally at the lower end of the pay scale, not the top. But in practice most pay-for-performance awards end up aimed toward the top—like in the [long defunct] upper "GM" levels, or the [Senior Executive Service]-level.

In any case, research shows upper-level public servants don't need this kind of encouragement. They already effectively do their missions …. So, no need for pay for performance there. On the other hand, there are many reasons why we should pay some public sector employees better for top-level skills. But we don't need to be paying people based on performance pay systems—which are often really based on short-term performance measures.

GE: You highlight that another big problem with incentive pay is that compensation isn't compared fairly. Comparing private sector pay to public is still often apples-to-oranges, right?

Perry: That's right. I believe people in this field all need to switch to what's called total pay comparability or total compensation comparability, as I argue in my book. Studies still look at pay [alone], as separate from retirement benefits, and as separate from health benefits, and so on. Big problem: Regular people in the public don't think like that. So, when they hear about federal pay they are like, "Wait a minute—maybe some of these people don't make as much salary but taxpayers make up for that by funding their great pensions." Or, "Hey, these feds get great health care benefits!" In other words, comparisons should never include just salary. Public servants often have better benefits. Total compensation ought to be the benchmark for comparison.

GE: Well, you just hit on one rocket fuel for critics of fed pay—especially House Republicans. Currently, they claim feds get 17% more compensation than their private sector counterparts, and it's a big reason they push Schedule F and targeted performance pay.

Perry: That number is way too high. That number Republicans claim is B.S. But it's true that the methodology commonly used is generally not right. Anyone discussing comparative compensation needs to be looking more broadly at pay, benefits and pensions, together—whatever is there, for everyone. Those of us in this field need to get to where we can go to the public and accurately compare and say definitively that our public employees are not undercompensated or overcompensated. We need to make sure the taxpayer knows the situation is fair.

In the long run, we need to gain, or regain, public trust in government about public servant compensation. Definitely, it's still a problem, even if is often mostly one of perception. We need to all get to total pay comparability.

GE: President Trump's pay-for-performance ambitions and Schedule F got stopped by Biden's win and a Democratic majority in Congress. Looking back to the early 2000s and the previous large-scale effort at pay for performance under George W. Bush—specifically the Defense Department's National Security Personnel System and the Homeland Security Department's MaxHR—why were these eliminated?

Perry: Legally it all got pushed back, by unions. Employees perceived it as unfair. And, at DOD, a business panel that looked at it for the Pentagon—management—effectively turned against it. Look, pay for performance was also doing double duty as a kind of way to diminish the unions, go after the rank and file, and that was clear.

GE: Can you go deeper on factors that motivate public employees?   

Perry: Sure. Look, my book covers 30 years of my research—and that of others—on what really motivates people in the government sector. One big motivator is, of course, mission—the public-sector employee's fulfilling the mission of their agency and their job. I add another motivator is "making a difference for one's fellow citizens, for the public." Now, for some that comes under "mission," but there are arguments it's a separate thing. But it's all connected with the values of public service—helping people out of poverty, or into education, or other aims—and doing the work of making those values happen in the real world. On another level, and the [Office of Personnel Management] pursues this as a value, it's called "public service motivation," something not well-understood by many feds or those who train them. But it's important.

My book discusses the United Nations Development Program finding that, bottom line, necessary UN sustainable development goals can't be achieved without a culture of public service—not just in "developing countries," but here too. We need to train on this, build up public service motivation and altruism, and redesign government jobs and the civil service system around this.

GE: If, in your opinion, agencies need to make such profound changes to federal job structure, recruitment and training, do we even want to keep much of the General Schedule system as it is?

Perry: Yes, I think we do. As I've said, there are many tweaks that would help. One other big problem I haven't mentioned here that many see as needing change—and not toward pay for performance—is that the federal pay system is too flat. We are saying to the best people out there, "Look, no matter how expert you are on, for example, artificial intelligence or cyber security or whatever, your federal salary will top out at only around $200,000 or whatever."      

That approach might have made sense a couple decades ago. But it doesn't now, really not. Maybe instead sometimes the top federal salary should be, say, $400,000. That's not pay for performance. That's about ability. New York University's professor Paul Light calls the current problem "administrative disinvestment," and it's also sometimes a huge compensation-related problem. Let's face it: we're competing with private companies that can pay a million dollars for a top-notch AI expert. With that much discrepancy, how else are you going to get people with those abilities in the public sector?


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[TSPStrategy] Even The Best Federal Health Benefits Won’t Protect You From The Wildfire Smoke

[TSPStrategy] Even The Best Federal Health Benefits Won’t Protect You From The Wildfire Smoke

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2023/06/even-best-federal-health-benefits-wont-protect-you-wildfire-smoke/387510/

Even The Best Federal Health Benefits Won't Protect You From The Wildfire Smoke

Great insurance and benefits only helps you to manage potentially terrible consequences. Better to prevent.

Feds are blessed with pretty solid health benefits—consistently rated as one of the most beloved pieces of fed compensation. The Federal Employees Health Benefits Program, including 230-plus plans covering over 8 million people, including family members and retirees, is the largest employer-backed insurance program in the world. 

No one in the government's employ is happy about the recent rise in premiums—an average 7.2% this year over last. But as a fed you get FEHBP's comprehensive insurance options, along with additional benefits such as extensive sick leave (generally, feds earn and bank up to 13 such days per year) and—if needed—disability retirement to boot. 

Great stuff. But, recently it's been the dangerous orange haze that stagnated over half the country that threatens your health—and in ways even good benefits can't help you with. So, given that—and that this is a problem we'll see again in the near-future—this week we want to well, air facts about it.

Earlier this month the Environmental Protection Agency's "PM 2.5" AQI—an index of small particulates—soared. "Good" is below 50. But, by midweek, air in heavily populated parts of the Eastern U.S., including New York City and Washington, D.C.,, reached well into the mid-200s—very unhealthy. 

Now if rarely discussed air quality measures make your eyes glaze over like the smoke itself, read on for some plain English on what's really in that haze.

"Particles that come from wildfire smoke are small—really, really small," Dr. Susan Anenberg, an environmental scientist at George Washington University (and advisor to the Environmental Protection Agency) told Government Executive. "They are so small that they're the kind that can get into the deepest part of our lungs—the alveolar region—crossing into the bloodstream. Once that happens, the particles can affect every organ of the body." 

What's the big deal with small particles? The problem is partly what's in them! For doubters, Anenberg—who chairs the Environmental and Occupational Health Department at the George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health—shares the ugly truth. 

"It's really a mixture of a lot of different chemical components," Anenberg said. When it burns you get particles but also potentially even more toxic gases. Particles from biomass in the smoke are toxic, she said, adding, "But it's not just natural biomass burning, it's also the built environment, from our roads, cars, buildings, toxic metals, asbestos—everything, even pieces of furniture!" 

In short, the burnt stuff making the air resemble pumpkin soup is not anything you really want to breathe. 

"The recent situation is the worst I've ever experienced," she said. When wildfires pollute the air as much as recently, she says, "don't go outside unless you have to." N95s and KN-95 masks can help—some—by stopping particles. "But the gasses still get through, so it's not perfect." 

The message: Feds suffering health consequences from the smoky air of course should seek medical help, and make use of their usually very good health insurance. Whether it is to cover treatments for asthma, exacerbations of COPD, or any other health problem from the spike in air pollution. 

As per Dr. Anenberg's graphic description of what small particles really means, and advice to stay inside and use masks to prevent trouble, no amount of great health insurance and or sick leave offers any real proactive protection against this kind of threat. Great insurance and benefits only helps you to manage potentially terrible consequences. Better to prevent. 

Feds and their unions are on Anenberg's wavelength about the smoke. For example, the National Association of Letter Carriers, cautioned workers and "urged all carriers to be vigilant about potential harmful health effects" of the polluted air. The American Postal Workers Union issued a similar detailed advisory

And across the federal government, self-protection and prevention have been the order of the day throughout the event. "Reduce exposure to smoke/poor air quality," posted the Department of Veterans Affairs. "Stay inside. Use air conditioning if available and ensure you have a clean filter. Check your local air quality before going outside." CDC and EPA websites advised the same, with the CDC further offering a guide specifically to help reduce health impacts to outdoor workers. 

The Office of Personnel Management issued a memo pressing agencies to protect "the health and wellbeing of our federal workforce"—strongly recommending agencies opt for telework wherever possible during the poor air quality event, and that all feds stay up to date on the situation via the EPA site AirNow.gov

As the smoke clears on the East Coast this week, the outlook in the continental U.S. for the rest of the summer is for average wildfire activity. But parts of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Plains and especially into Canada, experts predict greater-than-average fire activity, with worse smoke hazards downwind. Unfortunately, as Canadian authorities note, already the wildfire picture is worsening in Western Canada. 

Feds have solid health and sick leave benefits. Many are also mindful and proactive about health—exercising, eating right and taking note of health dangers on the job. But some unfamiliar yet imminent dangers get ignored. By the looks of public spaces in D.C. and other Eastern cities, wildfire smoke—to some—means just a great sunset. If you're one of those folks I saw out jogging last week, maybe when the smoke rolls in again, wherever that may be, consider an ounce of prevention might be worth a pound of cure.          

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[TSPStrategy] Only You Can Ensure a Comfortable Retirement

[TSPStrategy] Only You Can Ensure a Comfortable Retirement

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2023/06/only-you-can-ensure-comfortable-retirement/387586/

Only You Can Ensure a Comfortable Retirement

Saving and investing over the long haul is key.

How do you perceive your retirement preparedness? Does it match with reality? Will you be able to maintain your standard of living in retirement?

These are all important questions to consider as you plan for your retirement from federal service. According to a recent report from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, almost half of today's working-age households will not be able to maintain their pre-retirement standard of living after they retire.

Most people need to replace between 65% and 85% of their pre-retirement income to be financially secure in retirement. Take a look at the net income you take home each pay period. Will you really need less than this amount to live comfortably when you stop working? The only withholdings that come out of your paycheck that won't come out of your retirement benefit will be payroll taxes (FICA and Medicare), Thrift Savings Plan contributions, and retirement contributions. You will continue to pay most insurance premiums and federal and possibly state income tax, depending on where you live.

The Center for Retirement Research report highlights the implications of an important trend: Do-it-yourself retirement is replacing employer sponsored pension benefits. In government, the three-tiered Federal Employees Retirement System—with a defined pension benefit, Social Security and a defined contribution benefit in the form of the Thrift Savings Plan—has replaced the single-benefit Civil Service Retirement System. Over the last 40 years, retirement systems in the private sector have undergone a similar shift, from defined benefit plans to defined contribution plans, primarily 401(k)s and individual retirement accounts.

This shift requires more from workers, including:

A better understanding of how to manage a retirement savings and investment plan. Federal employees can educate themselves on the TSP through agency presentations and online training via the TSP website and YouTube channel channel. 

A higher level of employee contributions to ensure a comfortable retirement, especially for higher wage earners. CSRS provided employees with a 56.25 percent replacement of income after a 30-year career. Under FERS, 30 years of service will get you 30 percent of your high-three average salary. The remaining 26.25 percent must come from Social Security and TSP savings. 

Federal employees who were hired in 2013 and later also must contribute more to their FERS Basic retirement benefit. The FERS Revised Annuity Employee system covers employees hired in 2013 and the FERS Further Revised Annuity Employee system covers those hired in 2014 and later. This is in addition to TSP contributions and the 6.2% FICA tax on wages up to the maximum taxable wage amount ($160,200 for 2023).

More time thinking about retirement. FERS-covered workers must start to plan for retirement from the day they are hired. To begin with, they should commit to saving at least the minimum amount in the TSP to get agency matching funds. The TSP provides a 1% percent automatic agency contribution for all FERS employees, along with matching funds totaling 5% of salary for employees who contribute their own 5% of basic pay.

Federal workers also must consider that it takes a FERS employee longer to become eligible for an unreduced retirement benefit, because the minimum retirement age has increased from 55 under CSRS to 57 for employees born in 1970 or later. The service requirement for retirement at the youngest age has remained 30 years. In addition, FERS offers a reduced benefit at the minimum retirement age with as little as 10 years of service. Those employees who came into federal service later in life can also retire with 20 years or more service at age 60 or 5 or more years at age 62 with no age reduction.

More risk. Since the inception of the TSP's original three funds—the G Fund, C Fund, and F Fund—the G Fund has returned 4.66%, the F Fund 5.37%, and the C Fund 10.55% These funds vary from low to medium risk. In 2001, the TSP added the S Fund (medium-high risk) and I Fund (high risk), which have returned 8.34% and 4.72%.

Getting started early with saving for retirement is critical, to take advantage of compound growth. Otherwise, the only solution is to work longer.

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[TSPStrategy] A 4-Step Guide to Solving the Medicare-FEHB Puzzle

[TSPStrategy] A 4-Step Guide to Solving the Medicare-FEHB Puzzle

https://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2023/06/4-step-guide-solving-medicare-fehb-puzzle/387307/

A 4-Step Guide to Solving the Medicare-FEHB Puzzle

Piecing together the best solution for you.

Although health insurance open season is still five months away, if you're retiring and older than 65, or are already retired and turning 65 this year, it's not too early to start thinking about one of the biggest decisions you'll face: choosing the best Federal Employees Health Benefit plan to coordinate with Medicare.

This can be a difficult decision for a number of reasons, including cost (the standard Medicare Part B premium for 2023 is $164.90 per month), your own potential resistance to changing plans and an abundance of choices. FEHB plans can't require enrollment in Medicare Part B. You will continue to be covered regardless of your decision to enroll in Medicare.

To add to this dilemma, when you are part of a married couple in which one spouse is younger than 65 and the other is eligible for Medicare, then a decision has to be made to benefit both spouses. Fortunately, there are many federal plans that work well for retirees with and without Medicare coverage. 

Choosing the best health plan to coordinate with Medicare Parts A and B is like putting together a complex puzzle. To do it, just follow the steps to solving any puzzle.

Step 1: Eliminate the pieces that aren't even a part of the puzzle. Use the Office of Personnel Management's Plan Information Map to locate the plans available where you live. This is an important step for all who are eligible for FEHB, whether you are working or retired and regardless of your age. 

Step 2: Fill in the outside edges first. Eliminate the plans that you don't want to consider. Maybe you prefer a fee-for-service plan rather than a health maintenance organization. Or maybe you like the HMO that you've been enrolled in, but wonder if it's time to switch from standard to high option or value to standard. If you don't want to change health care providers, check the plan website or contact your providers to see which networks they participate in. 

Step 3: Find the colors and patterns that match. Once you've narrowed your choices to five or six plans, it's time for some comparison shopping. One way to do this is to create a chart with potential plans listed in the left hand column. Across the top row, add the following headings:

  • Premium.
  • Deductible for inpatient and outpatient care.
  • Copayments for office visits with your primary care physician, a specialist, and labs or other medical services. Include in-network and out-of-network costs.
  • Coinsurance you are responsible to pay for diagnostic and treatment services.
  • Catastrophic protection limit on out of pocket expenses. Include in-network and out-of-network, along with expenses not included in the limit that may be important to you and your covered family members.
  • Whether the plan waives its own deductibles, copayments and coinsurance when Medicare A and B are your primary payers.
  • Availability of a health fund, health reimbursement arrangement, health savings account, or Medicare Part B reimbursement.
  • Coverage for specific needs, such hearing aids, chiropractic care, and dental and vision coverage.

Step 4: Finish putting the puzzle together. Now you're ready to make your final selection. At this point, you can get extra help from plan comparison tools such as the Consumers' Checkbook Guide to Health Plans for Federal Employees or the OPM Plan Comparison Guide.

Retirees enrolled in Medicare A and B also have the option to try out an FEHB plan offering Medicare Advantage. These plans seem like an attractive option, but they're new. Some of them offer additional benefits such as gym memberships, meal delivery programs and non-emergency transportation benefits. But they have different prescription drug formularies than non-advantage plans.

If you take the time to choose wisely, you could find yourself with more comprehensive coverage with an overall lower cost to carry you through your Medicare years. Remember, at 65, you may still have two, three or four decades ahead of you.

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